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Forecast

Burns Creek (41.4516°S, 147.481°E, 450m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 12°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:02am EST 7:33am EST 5:02pm EST 5:32pm EST
    NOW
    5.9° Feels Like: 1.2°
    Relative Humidity: 86%
    Dew: 3.7°
    Wind: S 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1023.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Burns Creek
    Now
    4.4°c
    Feels Like:
    0.1°
    Wind:
    S 13km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    81%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Burns Creek
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of light showers, most likely in the early morning. Patchy fog in the early morning. Snow possible above 1400 metres. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 4 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Burns Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of light showers, most likely in the early morning. Patchy fog in the early morning. Snow possible above 1400 metres. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 14.

    Forecast for Burns Creek (41.4516°S, 147.481°E, 450m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower Showers Possible shower Frost then sunny Frost then sunny
    Minimum -1°
    Maximum 12° 11° 11° 12° 12° 10° 11°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 70% 50% 40% 10% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Moderate High High Slight Moderate High Severe
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE S ESE NNW N NNW NNW NNW NW WSW NW NW NNE NW
    Relative humidity 91% 70% 92% 67% 93% 73% 94% 80% 90% 66% 84% 63% 86% 62%
    Dew point 5°C 6°C 3°C 4°C 5°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 5°C 5°C 2°C 3°C 2°C 3°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Burns Creek Rain Forecast


    Burns Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 August to 7 August, 10 August to 14 August, and 15 August to 19 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 20 July to 24 July, 3 August to 7 August, and 12 August to 16 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 August to 7 August, 10 August to 14 August, and 16 August to 20 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Burns Creek Rain Forecast


    Burns Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    2
    4
    5
    7
    7
    6
    7
    2
    10
    4
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Burns Creek Rain Forecast


    Burns Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 August to 7 August, 10 August to 14 August, and 15 August to 19 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 20 July to 24 July, 3 August to 7 August, and 12 August to 16 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 August to 7 August, 10 August to 14 August, and 16 August to 20 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Burns Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 11
    0.6 °C 9.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 12
    2.4 °C 12.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 13
    1.6 °C 11.4 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 14
    1.9 °C 11.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 15
    5.3 °C 11.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Burns Creek minimum temp history (41.4516°S, 147.481°E, 450m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.4° 05/07/2020 Coldest this month -2.6° 08/07/2020
    Hottest on record 16.8 18/07/2013 Coldest on record -4.6 18/07/2015
    Hottest this year 37.1° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -3.7° 07/06/2020
    Long term average 11.8° Long term average 2.3°
    Average this month 11.3° Average this month 1.9°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 12.8° 2005 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 1.3° 2015
    Burns Creek rainfall history (41.4516°S, 147.481°E, 450m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.4mm 02/07/2020 Total This Month 13.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.3mm 15.1 days Wettest July on record 122.4mm 2016
    Driest on record 29.4mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Burns Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 334.3mm 74.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 436.0mm 76.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 320.8mm 64.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 54.6mm Mar 6
    Lowest Temperature -3.7°C Jun 7
    Highest Temperature 37.1°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Burns Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.0 24.6 22.7 18.2 14.7 12.1 11.8 13.0 15.3 17.5 20.2 22.5 18.2
    Mean Min (°C) 10.8 11.1 9.5 6.7 4.3 2.5 2.3 2.9 4.2 5.3 7.7 9.0 6.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 35.0 27.3 49.4 43.2 58.5 56.6 64.3 81.7 58.7 39.5 59.0 49.4 621.7
    Mean Rain Days 6.5 7.5 8.9 9.2 13.5 13.9 15.1 15.8 13.8 11.5 11.0 11.2 127.1