Forecast
Bungaree (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW10° 16° clearing shower Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:17am 5:49am 8:45pm 9:17pm NOW13.2° Feels Like: 8.6° Relative Humidity: 90% Dew: 11.6° Wind: WSW 26km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.4hPa -
Today Weather
BungareeNow11.9°cFeels Like:3.9°Wind:SW 43km/hGusts:48km/hHumidity:96%10°Min16°MaxToday in BungareeCloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.Tomorrow10°Min16°MaxCloudy. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Bungaree
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.
Forecast for Bungaree (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 10° 11° 11° 10° 11° 11° 11° Maximum 16° 17° 15° 15° 16° 15° 17° Chance of rain 5% 30% 20% 50% 70% 30% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)25
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)27
(km/h)30
(km/h)25
(km/h)33
(km/h)32
(km/h)37
(km/h)20
(km/h)27
(km/h)17
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW SSW SW WSW WSW W W W W W W W WNW Relative humidity 72% 65% 79% 74% 78% 71% 74% 79% 88% 83% 81% 72% 78% 74% Dew point 8°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bungaree Rain Forecast
Bungaree 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
10
11
12
13
14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
LOW24
25
26
LOW27
28
LOW29
MEDIUM30
31
Jan 1
LOW2
3
4
5
LOW6
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bungaree Rain Forecast
Bungaree 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020665465648655105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Bungaree Rain Forecast
Bungaree 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
10
11
12
13
14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
LOW24
25
26
LOW27
28
LOW29
MEDIUM30
31
Jan 1
LOW2
3
4
5
LOW6
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Bungaree Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Dec 0410.2 °C 15.6 °C 2.2 mmThursday
Dec 0511.0 °C 16.2 °C 2.2 mmFriday
Dec 0610.7 °C 15.3 °C 0.4 mmSaturday
Dec 0710.8 °C 15.7 °C 0.2 mmSunday
Dec 085.5 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bungaree minimum temp history (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 19.0° 08/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.5° 08/12/2019 Hottest on record 35.2 31/12/2009 Coldest on record 2.5 13/12/2006 Hottest this year 35.3° 02/03/2019 Coldest this year -0.7° 18/09/2019 Long term average 18.9° Long term average 11.0° Average this month 15.6° Average this month 9.3° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.8° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.8° 1996 Bungaree rainfall history (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 15.8mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 43.2mm 9.6 days Wettest December on record 113.2mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for TAS
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Year to Date
Bungaree Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 826.5mm 162.3 day(s) Total For 2019 733.0mm 226.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 749.8mm 200.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.2mm Jul11 Lowest Temperature -0.7°C Sep18 Highest Temperature 35.3°C Mar 2 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Bungaree Climatology
Bungaree Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 20.9 21.3 20.2 17.8 15.6 14.0 13.2 13.7 14.7 15.9 17.4 18.9 16.9 Mean Min (°C) 12.4 13.1 12.2 10.5 9.4 8.2 7.6 7.8 8.4 8.8 10.1 11.0 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 38.6 28.8 48.4 52.3 85.5 95.3 113.6 113.9 84.9 67.9 54.1 43.2 817.9 Mean Rain Days 7.9 6.4 10.9 13.1 16.5 17.0 19.4 19.3 16.8 14.5 10.9 9.6 158.5