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Forecast

Bungaree (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 14° 28°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:00am   6:31am   8:44pm   9:15pm  
    NOW
    16.1° Feels Like: 16.1°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 15.3°
    Wind: NE 9km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bungaree
    Now
    26.9°c
    Feels Like:
    19.7°
    Wind:
    N 30km/h
    Gusts:
    41km/h
    Humidity:
    23%
    Sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Bungaree
    Hot and sunny. Winds N/NW 20 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    18°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Hot. Partly cloudy. High chance of rain in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h turning W/NW in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bungaree

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and sunny. Winds N/NW 20 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.

    Forecast for Bungaree (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Late shower Rain Possible shower Windy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 14° 18° 16° 13° 11° 10° 12°
    Maximum 28° 30° 22° 18° 16° 17° 20°
    Chance of rain 5% 90% 70% 70% 30% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    42
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N WSW NE N W SW WNW W WSW SW SSW SSW S SSW
    Relative humidity 65% 48% 57% 48% 98% 82% 76% 68% 72% 56% 64% 53% 74% 63%
    Dew point 15°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 22°C 16°C 12°C 12°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 11°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bungaree Rain Forecast


    Bungaree 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bungaree Rain Forecast


    Bungaree 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    6
    5
    6
    6
    7
    4
    10
    6
    4
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bungaree Rain Forecast


    Bungaree 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bungaree Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    15.3 °C 19.5 °C
    1.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    14.5 °C 19.7 °C
    0.4 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    9.1 °C 19.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    13.9 °C 20.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    15.7 °C 20 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bungaree minimum temp history (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.1° 22/01/2020 Coldest this month 5.7° 06/01/2020
    Hottest on record 37.8 04/01/2013 Coldest on record 3.4 19/01/2004
    Hottest this year 28.1° 22/01/2020 Coldest this year 5.7° 06/01/2020
    Long term average 20.9° Long term average 12.4°
    Average this month 20.6° Average this month 12.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.2° 2014 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.2° 2009
    Bungaree rainfall history (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 32.4mm 23/01/2020 Total This Month 54.6mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 38.6mm 7.9 days Wettest January on record 131.4mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Bungaree Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 38.6mm 7.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 54.6mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 2.6mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 32.4mm Jan23
    Lowest Temperature 5.7°C Jan 6
    Highest Temperature 28.1°C Jan22
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bungaree Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 20.9 21.3 20.2 17.8 15.6 14.0 13.2 13.7 14.7 15.9 17.4 18.9 16.9
    Mean Min (°C) 12.4 13.1 12.2 10.5 9.4 8.2 7.6 7.8 8.4 8.8 10.1 11.0 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 38.6 28.8 48.4 52.3 85.5 95.3 113.6 113.9 84.9 67.9 54.1 43.2 817.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.9 6.4 10.9 13.1 16.5 17.0 19.4 19.3 16.8 14.5 10.9 9.6 158.5