Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Updated Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 5:00 am EST on Monday 19 August 2019
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 20 August 2019.
Wind Warnings for Monday 19 August
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, East of Flinders Island, South East
Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Banks Strait and Franklin
Sound, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 20 August
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound,
East of Flinders Island, Lower East Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast
and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Central Plateau Lakes,
South West Lakes and Upper East Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EST Monday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local Waters Forecast at
http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind, wave and
weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Bungaree (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
6° 12° windy with showers Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 6:40am 7:08am 5:49pm 6:17pm NOW7.1° Feels Like: -1.0° Relative Humidity: 82% Dew: 4.2° Wind: SW 35km/h Gust: SW 35km/h Rainfall since 9am: 12.8mm Pressure: 1014.5hPa -
Today Weather
BungareeNow7.1°cFeels Like:-1.0°Wind:SW 35km/hGusts:67km/hHumidity:82%
6°Min12°MaxToday in BungareeCloudy. High chance of showers. Winds SW 30 to 45 km/h tending W 35 to 55 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures around 12.Tomorrow
9°Min13°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds W 40 to 60 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 14. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. Winds SW 30 to 45 km/h tending W 35 to 55 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures around 12.
Forecast for Bungaree (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary 
Minimum 6° 9° 9° 8° 8° 9° 9° Maximum 12° 13° 13° 12° 13° 14° 13° Chance of rain 60% 90% 60% 20% 50% 80% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 42
(km/h)44
(km/h)47
(km/h)53
(km/h)46
(km/h)45
(km/h)41
(km/h)36
(km/h)25
(km/h)35
(km/h)31
(km/h)30
(km/h)22
(km/h)27
(km/h)Wind direction WSW W W W WSW WSW SW SW WNW NW WNW WNW WNW WNW Relative humidity 69% 75% 87% 85% 75% 77% 69% 69% 81% 77% 76% 68% 74% 69% Dew point 3°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 7°C 9°C 5°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bungaree Rain Forecast
Bungaree 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
HIGH20
HIGH21
HIGH22
MEDIUM23
24
LOW25
LOW26
MEDIUM27
HIGH28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
MEDIUM31
LOWSep 1
MEDIUM2
LOW3
HIGH4
LOW5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
MEDIUM10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
LOW14
LOW15
MEDIUM16
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug18Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 August to 30 August, 10 September to 14 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 August to 20 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 11 September to 15 September, and 15 September to 19 September.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bungaree Rain Forecast
Bungaree 12-month Rainfall ForecastAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul20192020655466654664105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Aug 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Bungaree Rain Forecast
Bungaree 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
HIGH20
HIGH21
HIGH22
MEDIUM23
24
LOW25
LOW26
MEDIUM27
HIGH28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
MEDIUM31
LOWSep 1
MEDIUM2
LOW3
HIGH4
LOW5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
MEDIUM10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
LOW14
LOW15
MEDIUM16
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug18Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 August to 30 August, 10 September to 14 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 August to 20 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 11 September to 15 September, and 15 September to 19 September.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Bungaree Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Aug 159.4 °C 13.7 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Aug 1611.1 °C 11.8 °C 1.8 mmSaturday
Aug 174.1 °C 13.9 °C 1.6 mmSunday
Aug 188.7 °C 13 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Aug 195 °C - 13.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bungaree minimum temp history (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 14.3° 06/08/2019 Coldest this month 3.1° 04/08/2019 Hottest on record 21.4 27/08/2007 Coldest on record 0.0 26/08/2006 Hottest this year 35.3° 02/03/2019 Coldest this year -0.3° 24/06/2019 Long term average 13.7° Long term average 7.8° Average this month 12.8° Average this month 7.4° Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.7° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 6.8° 2000 Bungaree rainfall history (39.7806°S, 143.9044°E, 37m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 16.4mm 09/08/2019 Total This Month 50.0mm
18.0 daysLong Term Average 113.9mm 19.3 days Wettest August on record 213.6mm 2011 -
Popup - Radar
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Year to Date
Bungaree Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Aug 576.4mm 110.5 day(s) Total For 2019 520.8mm 146.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 607.2mm 136.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.2mm Jul11 Lowest Temperature -0.3°C Jun24 Highest Temperature 35.3°C Mar 2 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Bungaree Climatology
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 20.9 21.3 20.2 17.8 15.6 14.0 13.2 13.7 14.7 15.9 17.4 18.9 16.9 Mean Min (°C) 12.4 13.1 12.2 10.5 9.4 8.2 7.6 7.8 8.4 8.8 10.1 11.0 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 38.6 28.8 48.4 52.3 85.5 95.3 113.6 113.9 84.9 67.9 54.1 43.2 817.9 Mean Rain Days 7.9 6.4 10.9 13.1 16.5 17.0 19.4 19.3 16.8 14.5 10.9 9.6 158.5
