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Forecast

Brickmakers Beach (41.4514°S, 145.4626°E, 580m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 13° 18°
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:35am EDT 6:08am EDT 8:51pm EDT 9:24pm EDT
    NOW
    13.6° Feels Like: 9.1°
    Relative Humidity: 63%
    Dew: 6.7°
    Wind: E 19km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Brickmakers Beach
    Now
    7.8°c
    Feels Like:
    5.4°
    Wind:
    ENE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Windy
     
    13°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Brickmakers Beach
    Mostly sunny. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 24.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    14°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower north of Strahan in the evening. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Brickmakers Beach

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 24.

    Forecast for Brickmakers Beach (41.4514°S, 145.4626°E, 580m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Windy Windy with showers Late shower Mostly cloudy Possible shower Thunderstorms Showers
    Minimum 13° 14° 14° 14° 13° 13° 14°
    Maximum 18° 20° 21° 19° 20° 18° 18°
    Chance of rain 30% 50% 40% 30% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE ESE ENE S NNW WNW WNW NE NNE NW NW WNW W
    Relative humidity 63% 46% 70% 56% 76% 59% 81% 58% 80% 76% 89% 73% 85% 71%
    Dew point 9°C 7°C 11°C 11°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 10°C 13°C 16°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Brickmakers Beach Rain Forecast


    Brickmakers Beach 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Brickmakers Beach Rain Forecast


    Brickmakers Beach 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    6
    5
    5
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    9
    1
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Brickmakers Beach Rain Forecast


    Brickmakers Beach 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Brickmakers Beach Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 13
    11.2 °C 22.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    13.6 °C 26.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    16.5 °C 21.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    11.3 °C 16.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    7.2 °C 21 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Brickmakers Beach minimum temp history (41.4514°S, 145.4626°E, 580m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.7° 08/01/2020 Coldest this month 7.2° 17/01/2020
    Hottest on record 35.4 30/01/2009 Coldest on record 2.9 21/01/2008
    Hottest this year 26.7° 08/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.2° 17/01/2020
    Long term average 20.9° Long term average 10.4°
    Average this month 20.8° Average this month 10.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.6° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 8.4° 2004
    Brickmakers Beach rainfall history (41.4514°S, 145.4626°E, 580m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.8mm 11/01/2020 Total This Month 15.0mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 75.2mm 14.0 days Wettest January on record 207.4mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Brickmakers Beach Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 75.2mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 15.0mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 6.6mm 8.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 11.8mm Jan11
    Lowest Temperature 7.2°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 26.7°C Jan 8
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Brickmakers Beach Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 20.9 21.2 19.0 15.8 12.9 11.1 10.6 11.3 12.8 14.8 17.3 18.7 15.6
    Mean Min (°C) 10.4 10.8 9.9 8.2 6.9 5.7 5.0 4.9 5.5 6.0 7.7 8.8 7.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 75.2 53.4 84.5 101.3 178.5 164.7 204.6 218.7 176.6 140.6 99.5 93.9 1570.6
    Mean Rain Days 14.0 12.9 17.2 20.8 24.0 22.5 26.0 26.3 24.7 22.0 18.1 18.3 228.6