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Forecast

Bradys Lake (42.2387°S, 146.5222°E, 716m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers 11°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:57am EDT 5:31am EDT 8:39pm EDT 9:13pm EDT
    NOW
    5.2° Feels Like: -1.1°
    Relative Humidity: 83%
    Dew: 2.6°
    Wind: W 24km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 3.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Bradys Lake
    Now
    5.6°c
    Feels Like:
     
    Wind:
    WSW 43km/h
    Gusts:
    57km/h
    Humidity:
     
    Windy with showers
     
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Bradys Lake
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, becoming less likely later tonight. Snow falling above 1000 metres. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 12.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1200 metres early. Winds W/SW 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bradys Lake

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, becoming less likely later tonight. Snow falling above 1000 metres. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 12.

    Forecast for Bradys Lake (42.2387°S, 146.5222°E, 716m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Windy with showers Showers Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 11° 12° 22° 25° 17° 15° 16°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 10% 40% 40% 50% 90%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Slight Nil Nil Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 30
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W W W W WSW N N WSW WSW W W WNW W
    Relative humidity 87% 83% 88% 84% 79% 50% 58% 48% 77% 59% 74% 58% 72% 66%
    Dew point 5°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 6°C 10°C 9°C 13°C 9°C 9°C 5°C 7°C 6°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bradys Lake Rain Forecast


    Bradys Lake 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bradys Lake Rain Forecast


    Bradys Lake 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    7
    5
    5
    4
    6
    6
    6
    5
    7
    7
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bradys Lake Rain Forecast


    Bradys Lake 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bradys Lake Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 02
    2.4 °C 6.0 °C
    11.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03
    1.1 °C 7.8 °C
    19.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04
    0.6 °C 9.1 °C
    26.6 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    3.4 °C 9.6 °C
    4.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06
    4.2 °C -
    36.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bradys Lake minimum temp history (42.2387°S, 146.5222°E, 716m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 10.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 0.6° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 32.6 19/12/2015 Coldest on record -3.0 16/12/1980
    Hottest this year 31.9° 01/03/2019 Coldest this year -7.0° 25/06/2019
    Long term average 16.8° Long term average 5.5°
    Average this month 8.5° Average this month 2.6°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.7° 1960 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 4.2° 1967
    Bradys Lake rainfall history (42.2387°S, 146.5222°E, 716m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 36.0mm 06/12/2019 Total This Month 99.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 124.9mm 18.3 days Wettest December on record 267.2mm 1960
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Bradys Lake Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1682.5mm 238.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 1773.4mm 232.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1824.6mm 228.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.0mm Aug21
    Lowest Temperature -7.0°C Jun25
    Highest Temperature 31.9°C Mar 1
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Bradys Lake Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 18.8 19.1 16.8 13.4 10.1 7.9 7.1 8.2 10.2 12.8 15.0 16.8 13.0
    Mean Min (°C) 6.4 6.2 5.2 3.5 1.8 0.3 -0.4 0.0 1.1 2.4 4.1 5.5 3.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 96.4 80.2 99.9 140.9 161.9 151.8 175.3 183.3 167.8 162.2 137.9 124.9 1683.3
    Mean Rain Days 15.3 13.1 16.8 20.1 22.5 21.4 23.9 24.2 21.9 21.5 19.6 18.3 230.5