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Forecast

Black Hills (42.7265°S, 147.0302°E, 377m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 19° 34°
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:39am EDT 6:11am EDT 8:39pm EDT 9:11pm EDT
    NOW
    12.6° Feels Like: 11.5°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 10.1°
    Wind: N 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Black Hills
    Now
    22.4°c
    Feels Like:
    19.5°
    Wind:
    W 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    28%
    Windy
     
    19°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Black Hills
    Hot and sunny. Winds W/NW 30 to 45 km/h tending W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    15°
    Min
    40°
    Max
    Very hot. Mostly sunny morning. High chance of rain in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm at night. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 39.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and sunny. Winds W/NW 30 to 45 km/h tending W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 33.

    Forecast for Black Hills (42.7265°S, 147.0302°E, 377m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Windy Mostly sunny Possible shower Windy Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 19° 15° 22° 12° 10° 10°
    Maximum 34° 40° 28° 22° 16° 20° 21°
    Chance of rain 10% 60% 60% 60% 80% 5% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WNW NNE N NW W NW WNW W WSW WNW W W SSW
    Relative humidity 35% 35% 65% 23% 84% 64% 68% 62% 78% 60% 66% 48% 69% 49%
    Dew point 12°C 17°C 17°C 15°C 24°C 18°C 11°C 13°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Black Hills Rain Forecast


    Black Hills 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Black Hills Rain Forecast


    Black Hills 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    5
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    10
    2
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Black Hills Rain Forecast


    Black Hills 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Black Hills Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    13.1 °C 23.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    15.4 °C 21.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    11.9 °C 22.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    12.3 °C 22.9 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    11.6 °C 27 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Black Hills minimum temp history (42.7265°S, 147.0302°E, 377m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.1° 09/01/2020 Coldest this month 3.3° 06/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.3 04/01/2013 Coldest on record 0.2 19/01/2004
    Hottest this year 33.1° 09/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.3° 06/01/2020
    Long term average 24.0° Long term average 10.1°
    Average this month 24.7° Average this month 10.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.7° 1998 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 8.0° 1965
    Black Hills rainfall history (42.7265°S, 147.0302°E, 377m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 32.6mm 23/01/2020 Total This Month 50.2mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 38.7mm 9.2 days Wettest January on record 120.4mm 1998
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Black Hills Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 38.7mm 9.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 50.2mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.6mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 32.6mm Jan23
    Lowest Temperature 3.3°C Jan 6
    Highest Temperature 33.1°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Black Hills Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.0 24.2 21.8 18.1 14.3 11.4 11.3 13.1 15.3 17.6 19.7 21.9 17.7
    Mean Min (°C) 10.1 10.0 8.4 6.1 4.0 2.0 1.4 2.2 4.0 5.7 7.5 9.0 5.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 38.7 34.8 38.2 46.6 46.0 47.8 51.0 55.6 53.5 57.1 50.2 50.0 569.3
    Mean Rain Days 9.2 8.2 10.0 11.9 14.5 15.7 17.3 16.7 15.6 15.8 13.1 11.7 153.8