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Forecast

Bagdad (42.6269°S, 147.2221°E, 167m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Wind and rain increasing 10° 17°
    wind and rain increasing
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:29am EDT 6:02am EDT 8:44pm EDT 9:16pm EDT
    NOW
    14.7° Feels Like: 13.8°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 13.9°
    Wind: NNW 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 15.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Bagdad
    Now
    13.7°c
    Feels Like:
    13.0°
    Wind:
    SSW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Wind and rain increasing
     
    10°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Bagdad
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Winds NW 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds W/NW 25 to 40 km/h becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bagdad

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Winds NW 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 19.

    Forecast for Bagdad (42.6269°S, 147.2221°E, 167m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Wind and rain increasing Windy Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Windy Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 10° 10° 12° 10° 10°
    Maximum 17° 19° 24° 22° 21° 21° 23°
    Chance of rain 80% 30% 10% 20% 30% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW N WNW WNW NW WNW NW W NNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 88% 67% 64% 50% 64% 50% 63% 45% 64% 48% 68% 54% 65% 46%
    Dew point 9°C 11°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 12°C 10°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 7°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bagdad Rain Forecast


    Bagdad 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bagdad Rain Forecast


    Bagdad 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    7
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bagdad Rain Forecast


    Bagdad 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bagdad Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    7.7 °C 20.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    10.2 °C 24.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    12.1 °C 17.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    11.2 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    10.6 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bagdad minimum temp history (42.6269°S, 147.2221°E, 167m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.6° 09/01/2020 Coldest this month 3.5° 17/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.1 14/01/2014 Coldest on record 0.4 24/01/2000
    Hottest this year 30.6° 09/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.5° 17/01/2020
    Long term average 23.9° Long term average 10.4°
    Average this month 23.9° Average this month 10.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.9° 2003 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 8.8° 2004
    Bagdad rainfall history (42.6269°S, 147.2221°E, 167m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.8mm 16/01/2020 Total This Month 25.2mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 32.8mm 9.5 days Wettest January on record 69.2mm 2003
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Bagdad Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 32.8mm 9.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 25.2mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 2.0mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 10.8mm Jan16
    Lowest Temperature 3.5°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 30.6°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bagdad Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.9 23.5 21.1 17.4 14.2 11.8 11.4 12.6 14.7 16.8 19.6 21.8 17.4
    Mean Min (°C) 10.4 10.2 8.3 5.8 4.3 2.2 2.1 2.6 4.4 5.5 7.4 9.0 6.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 32.8 31.3 31.9 27.8 33.4 37.3 33.9 49.7 49.8 41.1 42.7 38.7 449.3
    Mean Rain Days 9.5 8.8 11.0 13.1 15.5 17.8 18.8 18.3 17.3 15.9 13.1 12.3 159.5