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Forecast

Willoughby (35.8298°S, 138.084°E, 64m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Increasing sunshine 14° 21°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:54am CDT 6:23am CDT 8:34pm CDT 9:03pm CDT
    NOW
    16.2° Feels Like: 11.9°
    Relative Humidity: 73%
    Dew: 11.4°
    Wind: SSE 24km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Willoughby
    Now
    16.2°c
    Feels Like:
    11.9°
    Wind:
    SSE 24km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    73%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    14°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Willoughby
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming N/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    14°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and early afternoon. Gusty winds. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h turning W 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning then increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Willoughby

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming N/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Willoughby (35.8298°S, 138.084°E, 64m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Increasing sunshine Possible shower Clearing shower Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 14° 18° 14° 14° 16° 16° 15°
    Maximum 21° 23° 19° 23° 23° 22° 22°
    Chance of rain 40% 80% 40% 20% 30% 30% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE NNE WNW W W WSW WNW WNW WNW W W SSW WSW SW
    Relative humidity 70% 61% 72% 67% 63% 57% 70% 67% 83% 74% 85% 75% 77% 68%
    Dew point 11°C 13°C 17°C 14°C 9°C 10°C 13°C 16°C 17°C 18°C 16°C 17°C 15°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Willoughby Rain Forecast


    Willoughby 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Willoughby Rain Forecast


    Willoughby 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Willoughby Rain Forecast


    Willoughby 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Willoughby Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    15.7 °C 18.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    14.2 °C 19.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    15.2 °C 21.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    16.4 °C 18.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    15.5 °C 18 °C
    1.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Willoughby minimum temp history (35.8298°S, 138.084°E, 64m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.6° 03/01/2020 Coldest this month 13.4° 05/01/2020
    Hottest on record 42.2 14/01/2014 Coldest on record 6.1 14/01/1968
    Hottest this year 35.6° 03/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.4° 05/01/2020
    Long term average 21.7° Long term average 15.9°
    Average this month 21.9° Average this month 15.9°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.6° 1982 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.7° 1987
    Willoughby rainfall history (35.8298°S, 138.084°E, 64m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.0mm 11/01/2020 Total This Month 9.0mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 17.0mm 4.5 days Wettest January on record 214.9mm 1982
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Willoughby Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 17.0mm 4.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 9.0mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 5.0mm Jan11
    Lowest Temperature 13.4°C Jan 5
    Highest Temperature 35.6°C Jan 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Willoughby Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.7 21.8 20.7 19.1 17.0 14.9 14.2 14.5 15.9 17.7 19.2 20.7 18.1
    Mean Min (°C) 15.9 16.3 15.6 14.2 12.6 10.8 9.8 9.6 10.4 11.5 13.1 14.4 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 17.0 16.5 20.9 38.3 61.7 75.9 82.9 74.1 57.1 41.3 27.7 22.0 533.0
    Mean Rain Days 4.5 4.5 6.5 10.0 14.4 16.4 18.3 17.6 14.4 11.4 8.0 6.6 129.1