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Forecast

Warunda (34.477°S, 135.6844°E, 57m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 13° 26°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:07am CDT 6:35am CDT 8:40pm CDT 9:08pm CDT
    NOW
    15.7° Feels Like: 13.2°
    Relative Humidity: 75%
    Dew: 11.3°
    Wind: SSE 15km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Warunda
    Now
    15.7°c
    Feels Like:
    13.2°
    Wind:
    SSE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    75%
    Mostly sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Warunda
    The chance of patchy fog in the early morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    17°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower at night. Gusty winds. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h turning W 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then increasing to 30 to 40 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Warunda

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: The chance of patchy fog in the early morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.

    Forecast for Warunda (34.477°S, 135.6844°E, 57m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Windy with showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 17° 14° 14° 14° 15° 14°
    Maximum 26° 24° 22° 26° 27° 27° 27°
    Chance of rain 30% 80% 10% 20% 20% 30% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    41
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NE W W WSW WSW WNW W WNW WSW WSW S S SW
    Relative humidity 66% 43% 71% 48% 56% 40% 63% 49% 75% 51% 77% 57% 72% 46%
    Dew point 12°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 9°C 8°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 18°C 14°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Warunda Rain Forecast


    Warunda 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Warunda Rain Forecast


    Warunda 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    10
    5
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Warunda Rain Forecast


    Warunda 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Warunda Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    16.0 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    15.1 °C 22.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    14.8 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    15.8 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    15.8 °C 23 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Warunda minimum temp history (34.477°S, 135.6844°E, 57m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.6° 03/01/2020 Coldest this month 8.8° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 46.1 25/01/1994 Coldest on record 8.5 04/01/2002
    Hottest this year 42.6° 03/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.8° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 26.2° Long term average 15.9°
    Average this month 26.0° Average this month 15.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.9° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 2004
    Warunda rainfall history (34.477°S, 135.6844°E, 57m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.0mm 05/01/2020 Total This Month 6.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 17.6mm 4.5 days Wettest January on record 45.2mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Warunda Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 17.6mm 4.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 6.0mm 4.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 3.0mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 8.8°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 42.6°C Jan 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Warunda Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.2 25.9 24.3 22.2 19.6 16.7 16.0 16.8 18.7 20.9 23.1 24.7 21.2
    Mean Min (°C) 15.9 16.2 14.6 12.2 10.5 8.6 7.5 7.1 8.0 9.5 12.1 13.9 11.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 17.6 17.9 20.7 21.2 44.8 68.8 60.2 50.8 42.5 27.1 18.9 19.4 409.9
    Mean Rain Days 4.5 3.8 6.1 8.6 14.9 17.3 18.2 17.8 13.7 9.2 6.6 6.1 121.5