Forecast
Warrachie (33.6537°S, 135.7126°E, 84m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW16° 27° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:20am CDT 6:47am CDT 8:34pm CDT 9:01pm CDT NOW18.1° Feels Like: 17.0° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 18.1° Wind: S 20km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 5.2mm Pressure: 1010.2hPa -
Today Weather
WarrachieNow20.8°cFeels Like:21.3°Wind:S 11km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:82%16°Min27°MaxToday in WarrachiePartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower E of Ceduna, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 27.Tomorrow16°Min27°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds S/SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 28. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Warrachie
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower E of Ceduna, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 27.
Forecast for Warrachie (33.6537°S, 135.7126°E, 84m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 16° 13° 13° 16° 12° 10° 11° Maximum 27° 28° 32° 27° 25° 25° 27° Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 20% 10% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)22
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)11
(km/h)10
(km/h)25
(km/h)20
(km/h)23
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW S S SSE SE SSW WSW S S SSE S S S Relative humidity 85% 45% 73% 35% 69% 31% 64% 36% 62% 35% 64% 31% 68% 35% Dew point 16°C 14°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Warrachie Rain Forecast
Warrachie 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
LOW30
31
Feb 1
2
3
LOW4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
LOW16
17
18
LOW19
20
21
22
LOW23
24
25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Warrachie Rain Forecast
Warrachie 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021678657766769105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Warrachie Rain Forecast
Warrachie 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
LOW30
31
Feb 1
2
3
LOW4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
LOW16
17
18
LOW19
20
21
22
LOW23
24
25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Warrachie Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2428.2 °C 42.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2521.7 °C 31.0 °C 1.2 mmTuesday
Jan 2618.4 °C 27.2 °C 4.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2711.3 °C 32.1 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Jan 2818.2 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Warrachie minimum temp history (33.6537°S, 135.7126°E, 84m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 45.1° 23/01/2021 Coldest this month 6.6° 16/01/2021 Hottest on record 49.3 09/01/1939 Coldest on record 4.0 12/01/1975 Hottest this year 45.1° 23/01/2021 Coldest this year 6.6° 16/01/2021 Long term average 33.1° Long term average 14.5° Average this month 33.4° Average this month 14.7° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 38.1° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.0° 1975 Warrachie rainfall history (33.6537°S, 135.7126°E, 84m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.0mm 26/01/2021 Total This Month 5.6mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 14.5mm 3.6 days Wettest January on record 141.2mm 1993 Driest on record 0.0mm 1965 -
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Australia Radars
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Year to Date
Warrachie Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 14.5mm 3.6 day(s) Total For 2021 5.6mm 3.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 15.1mm 3.0 day(s) Wettest Day 4.0mm Jan26 Lowest Temperature 6.6°C Jan16 Highest Temperature 45.1°C Jan23 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Warrachie Climatology
Warrachie Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.1 32.4 29.9 25.4 21.1 17.8 17.2 18.7 21.9 25.4 28.7 31.0 25.2 Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.4 12.4 9.5 7.4 5.3 4.8 5.0 6.3 8.3 10.8 13.0 9.3 Mean Rain (mm) 14.5 16.1 13.9 19.6 31.9 38.1 39.7 38.9 31.2 25.7 21.2 20.4 310.6 Mean Rain Days 3.6 3.3 3.8 6.4 10.6 12.0 13.6 13.6 9.9 8.1 5.9 5.1 95.9