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Forecast

Warrachie (33.6537°S, 135.7126°E, 84m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 30°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:44am CDT 6:12am CDT 8:31pm CDT 9:00pm CDT
    NOW
    24.8° Feels Like: 19.5°
    Relative Humidity: 26%
    Dew: 4.0°
    Wind: S 20km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Warrachie
    Now
    24.8°c
    Feels Like:
    19.5°
    Wind:
    S 20km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    26%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Warrachie
    Mostly sunny. Winds S/SE 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 30.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Warrachie

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds S/SE 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 30.

    Forecast for Warrachie (33.6537°S, 135.7126°E, 84m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 15° 22° 24° 24°
    Maximum 30° 33° 38° 43° 46° 48° 49°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SSW SE SW NNE WSW ENE SSW NE N NE NW NE NNE
    Relative humidity 67% 25% 67% 22% 33% 13% 23% 9% 15% 8% 14% 8% 17% 9%
    Dew point 9°C 7°C 10°C 8°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 4°C 3°C 4°C 4°C 6°C 8°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Warrachie Rain Forecast


    Warrachie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Warrachie Rain Forecast


    Warrachie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    4
    4
    7
    7
    6
    4
    6
    7
    6
    6
    8
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Warrachie Rain Forecast


    Warrachie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Warrachie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 09
    17.6 °C 27.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    13.6 °C 29.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    9.1 °C 29.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    13.9 °C 30 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    9 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Warrachie minimum temp history (33.6537°S, 135.7126°E, 84m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.8° 08/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.2° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 46.4 27/12/1961 Coldest on record 2.2 11/12/1952
    Hottest this year 49.2° 24/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.8° 03/08/2019
    Long term average 30.9° Long term average 12.9°
    Average this month 30.6° Average this month 11.4°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.4° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 1956
    Warrachie rainfall history (33.6537°S, 135.7126°E, 84m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.9mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 5.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 20.3mm 5.0 days Wettest December on record 104.6mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Warrachie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 310.9mm 94.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 228.9mm 89.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 251.5mm 108.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 33.0mm Sep20
    Lowest Temperature -1.8°C Aug 3
    Highest Temperature 49.2°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Warrachie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.0 32.4 29.9 25.3 21.1 17.8 17.1 18.6 21.9 25.4 28.7 30.9 25.2
    Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.4 12.4 9.5 7.4 5.4 4.8 4.9 6.3 8.3 10.8 12.9 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 14.1 16.3 14.2 19.6 31.7 38.3 40.4 38.5 31.1 25.5 20.9 20.3 310.6
    Mean Rain Days 3.4 3.3 3.7 6.3 10.3 11.8 13.3 13.4 9.8 8.0 5.8 5.0 93.3