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Forecast

Penola (37.3808°S, 140.8376°E, 60m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 13° 19°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:38am CDT 6:08am CDT 8:27pm CDT 8:57pm CDT
    NOW
    15.6° Feels Like: 13.8°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 14.7°
    Wind: SSE 17km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1008.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Penola
    Now
    14.5°c
    Feels Like:
    9.5°
    Wind:
    SSE 32km/h
    Gusts:
    41km/h
    Humidity:
    96%
    Possible shower
     
    13°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Penola
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    10°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 27.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19.

    Forecast for Penola (37.3808°S, 140.8376°E, 60m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible shower Increasing sunshine Possible shower Possible shower Cloudy Cloudy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 10° 12° 10° 11° 13°
    Maximum 19° 25° 28° 19° 22° 24° 24°
    Chance of rain 70% 40% 80% 70% 50% 30% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW SSW SW W N WNW WNW W WNW W NW WNW W W
    Relative humidity 86% 70% 68% 33% 36% 62% 74% 42% 68% 47% 78% 48% 77% 44%
    Dew point 13°C 13°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 14°C 10°C 6°C 10°C 11°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Penola Rain Forecast


    Penola 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Penola Rain Forecast


    Penola 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    5
    7
    5
    6
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Penola Rain Forecast


    Penola 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Penola Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    14.9 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    11.9 °C 21.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    5.8 °C 22.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    11.2 °C 27.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    12.7 °C 25 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Penola minimum temp history (37.3808°S, 140.8376°E, 60m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.5° 03/01/2020 Coldest this month 5.8° 17/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.5 28/01/2009 Coldest on record 0.2 09/01/1987
    Hottest this year 38.5° 03/01/2020 Coldest this year 5.8° 17/01/2020
    Long term average 27.3° Long term average 11.6°
    Average this month 27.7° Average this month 11.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 1987
    Penola rainfall history (37.3808°S, 140.8376°E, 60m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.4mm 11/01/2020 Total This Month 3.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 29.7mm 6.6 days Wettest January on record 101.7mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Penola Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 29.7mm 6.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 3.8mm 2.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.2mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 3.4mm Jan11
    Lowest Temperature 5.8°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 38.5°C Jan 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Penola Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 27.5 25.0 21.0 17.2 14.5 13.8 14.9 16.9 19.6 22.6 25.0 20.5
    Mean Min (°C) 11.6 11.8 10.2 7.8 6.9 5.5 5.2 5.4 6.5 7.3 8.7 10.1 8.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 29.7 18.3 31.1 39.7 56.8 81.4 88.1 85.4 68.1 49.0 36.0 37.5 615.5
    Mean Rain Days 6.6 5.5 8.1 11.8 16.7 19.4 20.7 19.6 16.8 13.6 9.7 9.0 150.5