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Forecast

Old Reynella (35.0939°S, 138.5415°E, 111m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Clearing shower 14° 21°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:01am CDT 6:27am CDT 7:35pm CDT 8:02pm CDT
    NOW
    21.2° Feels Like: 17.7°
    Relative Humidity: 41%
    Dew: 7.7°
    Wind: N 15km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Old Reynella
    Now
    20.3°c
    Feels Like:
    17.7°
    Wind:
    N 15km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    54%
    Clearing shower
     
    14°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Old Reynella
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    14°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely during the afternoon. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Old Reynella

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Old Reynella (35.0939°S, 138.5415°E, 111m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Clearing shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 14° 11° 11° 11° 21°
    Maximum 21° 21° 19° 19° 21° 29° 31°
    Chance of rain 30% 70% 60% 5% 5% 20% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW W ESE WSW SSW SSW SSE S E SW NE NNE NNE N
    Relative humidity 83% 70% 81% 69% 79% 53% 72% 49% 67% 46% 48% 31% 38% 31%
    Dew point 14°C 15°C 12°C 15°C 10°C 10°C 8°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Old Reynella Rain Forecast


    Old Reynella 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 November to 10 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Old Reynella Rain Forecast


    Old Reynella 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    6
    3
    7
    7
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however six of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds will be met again between November and January. IOD status: Negative, neutral levels predicted from late spring. SAM status: Near neutral, forecast to be mostly positive from October to December. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, Over the past few months, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have been getting abnormally cool. This oceanic cooling has also been accompanied by a response in the atmosphere, which has included trade winds strengthening over the central and western Pacific Ocean in the last few weeks. Both the atmosphere and the ocean are now showing clear signs of being in a La Niña-like pattern and a number of forecast models suggest that this trend will continue in the months ahead. All seven climate models predict La Nina Thresholds to be met in November, while six of the seven suggest it will last through to January and four toFebruary. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently weakly negative, however climate models predict the return to neutral phase by late spring. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and the remainder of spring.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Past 5 Days

    Old Reynella Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 16
    11.8 °C 16.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 17
    8.2 °C 22.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 18
    12.6 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 19
    11.0 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 20
    13.6 °C 25.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  13. Long range rainfall forecast

    Old Reynella Rain Forecast


    Old Reynella 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 November to 10 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Old Reynella minimum temp history (35.0939°S, 138.5415°E, 111m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.1° 06/10/2021 Coldest this month 6.4° 08/10/2021
    Hottest on record 37.4 21/10/2014 Coldest on record 4.0 11/10/2003
    Hottest this year 42.9° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 4.1° 21/07/2021
    Long term average 21.5° Long term average 11.6°
    Average this month 19.5° Average this month 10.1°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.2° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 9.2° 2003
    Old Reynella rainfall history (35.0939°S, 138.5415°E, 111m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 23.2mm 15/10/2021 Total This Month 37.4mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 31.6mm 9.2 days Wettest October on record 96.6mm 2005
    Driest on record 0.4mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Old Reynella Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 422.0mm 108.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 413.0mm 106.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 474.0mm 93.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.0mm Jun18
    Lowest Temperature 4.1°C Jul21
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Old Reynella Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.8 27.6 25.7 22.4 18.4 15.6 14.9 15.8 18.6 21.5 24.9 26.6 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 16.9 15.6 13.7 11.5 9.2 8.7 8.8 10.3 11.6 14.0 15.5 12.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 16.2 43.1 19.4 33.5 53.5 63.9 63.3 54.2 43.3 31.6 20.7 21.1 459.5
    Mean Rain Days 4.6 4.0 5.8 8.4 13.9 15.4 17.2 16.2 13.4 9.2 7.7 7.6 123.3