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Forecast

Olary (32.2787°S, 140.3301°E, 281m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 14° 29°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:00am CDT 6:25am CDT 7:28pm CDT 7:53pm CDT
    NOW
    22.7° Feels Like: 19.1°
    Relative Humidity: 16%
    Dew: -4.4°
    Wind: NE 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Olary
    Now
    23.2°c
    Feels Like:
    18.3°
    Wind:
    E 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    17%
    Sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Olary
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a light shower near the E border in the early morning. Winds SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    14°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds S/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SE early in the morning then tending S/SW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 37.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a light shower near the E border in the early morning. Winds SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.

    Forecast for Olary (32.2787°S, 140.3301°E, 281m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 14° 11° 10° 10° 16°
    Maximum 29° 28° 23° 21° 24° 30° 33°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW SW SSE WSW SSW SSW S S SSE SSE NE N NNE N
    Relative humidity 47% 22% 61% 22% 58% 24% 62% 24% 50% 19% 26% 10% 18% 9%
    Dew point 8°C 5°C 9°C 4°C 6°C 2°C 4°C -1°C 3°C -2°C -1°C -5°C -2°C -4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Olary Rain Forecast


    Olary 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 November to 10 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Olary Rain Forecast


    Olary 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2021
    2022
    7
    9
    8
    8
    8
    9
    6
    6
    8
    8
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however six of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds will be met again between November and January. IOD status: Negative, neutral levels predicted from late spring. SAM status: Near neutral, forecast to be mostly positive from October to December. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, Over the past few months, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have been getting abnormally cool. This oceanic cooling has also been accompanied by a response in the atmosphere, which has included trade winds strengthening over the central and western Pacific Ocean in the last few weeks. Both the atmosphere and the ocean are now showing clear signs of being in a La Niña-like pattern and a number of forecast models suggest that this trend will continue in the months ahead. All seven climate models predict La Nina Thresholds to be met in November, while six of the seven suggest it will last through to January and four toFebruary. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently weakly negative, however climate models predict the return to neutral phase by late spring. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and the remainder of spring.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Past 5 Days

    Olary Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 16
    8.4 °C 20.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 17
    6.6 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 18
    14.0 °C 29.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 19
    10.2 °C 25.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 20
    10.3 °C 27.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  13. Long range rainfall forecast

    Olary Rain Forecast


    Olary 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 November to 10 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Olary minimum temp history (32.2787°S, 140.3301°E, 281m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.0° 09/10/2021 Coldest this month 1.8° 08/10/2021
    Hottest on record 39.0 17/10/1998 Coldest on record -0.3 10/10/2006
    Hottest this year 41.3° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -4.8° 30/05/2021
    Long term average 25.3° Long term average 9.3°
    Average this month 22.7° Average this month 7.5°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 2014 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 7.0° 2003
    Olary rainfall history (32.2787°S, 140.3301°E, 281m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 24.0mm 15/10/2021 Total This Month 35.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 18.7mm 4.6 days Wettest October on record 61.6mm 1999
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Olary Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 157.7mm 51.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 146.4mm 47.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 154.2mm 54.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.2mm Jan26
    Lowest Temperature -4.8°C May30
    Highest Temperature 41.3°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Olary Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.0 32.4 28.9 24.4 19.3 15.7 15.8 17.6 22.0 25.3 28.8 31.5 24.6
    Mean Min (°C) 16.7 16.0 12.9 9.1 6.0 3.4 3.1 3.9 6.6 9.3 12.6 14.6 9.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 22.5 19.9 12.4 13.5 11.8 15.4 14.7 12.4 16.4 18.7 27.4 16.7 196.2
    Mean Rain Days 3.5 2.8 3.8 3.8 5.7 8.0 7.6 6.4 5.3 4.6 5.1 4.5 59.9