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Forecast

Mount Hurtle (35.1161°S, 138.5473°E, 114m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 10° 23°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:03am CDT 6:29am CDT 7:34pm CDT 8:00pm CDT
    NOW
    22.5° Feels Like: 18.1°
    Relative Humidity: 32%
    Dew: 5.0°
    Wind: E 17km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Mount Hurtle
    Now
    19.7°c
    Feels Like:
    16.8°
    Wind:
    W 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    57%
    Sunny
     
    10°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Mount Hurtle
    Clear. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h turning E 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower late evening. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h tending NE 25 to 40 km/h before dawn then tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mount Hurtle

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Clear. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h turning E 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

    Forecast for Mount Hurtle (35.1161°S, 138.5473°E, 114m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 10° 13° 15° 11° 11° 10°
    Maximum 23° 29° 22° 20° 19° 18° 21°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 20% 30% 10% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE SE ENE NE NW W W W SW SW SSE S ESE SW
    Relative humidity 68% 43% 51% 36% 84% 70% 81% 68% 75% 52% 67% 52% 69% 47%
    Dew point 8°C 10°C 10°C 13°C 15°C 17°C 11°C 14°C 9°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mount Hurtle Rain Forecast


    Mount Hurtle 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    16
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 8 November to 12 November, and 14 November to 18 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mount Hurtle Rain Forecast


    Mount Hurtle 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    8
    8
    6
    7
    6
    4
    7
    7
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however six of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds will be met again between November and January. IOD status: Negative, neutral levels predicted from late spring. SAM status: Near neutral, forecast to be mostly positive from October to December. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, Over the past few months, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have been getting abnormally cool. This oceanic cooling has also been accompanied by a response in the atmosphere, which has included trade winds strengthening over the central and western Pacific Ocean in the last few weeks. Both the atmosphere and the ocean are now showing clear signs of being in a La Niña-like pattern and a number of forecast models suggest that this trend will continue in the months ahead. All seven climate models predict La Nina Thresholds to be met in November, while six of the seven suggest it will last through to January and four toFebruary. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently weakly negative, however climate models predict the return to neutral phase by late spring. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and the remainder of spring.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Past 5 Days

    Mount Hurtle Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Oct 15
    9.4 °C 17.4 °C
    23.2 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 16
    11.8 °C 16.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 17
    8.2 °C 22.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 18
    12.6 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 19
    11.0 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  13. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mount Hurtle Rain Forecast


    Mount Hurtle 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    16
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 8 November to 12 November, and 14 November to 18 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mount Hurtle minimum temp history (35.1161°S, 138.5473°E, 114m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.1° 06/10/2021 Coldest this month 6.4° 08/10/2021
    Hottest on record 37.4 21/10/2014 Coldest on record 4.0 11/10/2003
    Hottest this year 42.9° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 4.1° 21/07/2021
    Long term average 21.5° Long term average 11.6°
    Average this month 19.3° Average this month 9.9°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.2° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 9.2° 2003
    Mount Hurtle rainfall history (35.1161°S, 138.5473°E, 114m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 23.2mm 15/10/2021 Total This Month 37.4mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 31.6mm 9.2 days Wettest October on record 96.6mm 2005
    Driest on record 0.4mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mount Hurtle Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 422.0mm 108.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 413.0mm 106.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 474.0mm 93.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.0mm Jun18
    Lowest Temperature 4.1°C Jul21
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mount Hurtle Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.8 27.6 25.7 22.4 18.4 15.6 14.9 15.8 18.6 21.5 24.9 26.6 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 16.9 15.6 13.7 11.5 9.2 8.7 8.8 10.3 11.6 14.0 15.5 12.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 16.2 43.1 19.4 33.5 53.5 63.9 63.3 54.2 43.3 31.6 20.7 21.1 459.5
    Mean Rain Days 4.6 4.0 5.8 8.4 13.9 15.4 17.2 16.2 13.4 9.2 7.7 7.6 123.3