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Forecast

Mintabie (27.3149°S, 133.2988°E, 365m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 22° 37°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:36am CST 5:59am CST 6:45pm CST 7:09pm CST
    NOW
    36.5° Feels Like: 32.8°
    Relative Humidity: 12%
    Dew: 2.5°
    Wind: WNW 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mintabie
    Now
    36.5°c
    Feels Like:
    32.8°
    Wind:
    WNW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    12%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    22°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Today in Mintabie
    Partly cloudy. Winds NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    23°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Very hot. Partly cloudy. Areas of raised dust in the late morning and afternoon. Medium chance of showers from late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm, with gusty winds from late morning. Winds NE 25 to 40 km/h shifting W/SW 35 to 55 km/h during the morning and early afternoon then tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to 20 to 25 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 41.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mintabie

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Winds NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h.

    Forecast for Mintabie (27.3149°S, 133.2988°E, 365m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly cloudy Windy Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 22° 23° 15° 17° 14° 14° 16°
    Maximum 37° 37° 32° 33° 29° 28° 31°
    Chance of rain 10% 20% 5% 5% 20% 20% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E NNW NE WNW SSE S SE SSE SSE SE SE ESE E NE
    Relative humidity 18% 12% 17% 15% 38% 17% 28% 16% 39% 23% 28% 22% 27% 20%
    Dew point 3°C 4°C 3°C 7°C 7°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 6°C 0°C 4°C 2°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mintabie Rain Forecast


    Mintabie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 8 November to 12 November, and 14 November to 18 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mintabie Rain Forecast


    Mintabie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    6
    7
    8
    3
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however six of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds will be met again between November and January. IOD status: Negative, neutral levels predicted from late spring. SAM status: Near neutral, forecast to be mostly positive from October to December. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, Over the past few months, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have been getting abnormally cool. This oceanic cooling has also been accompanied by a response in the atmosphere, which has included trade winds strengthening over the central and western Pacific Ocean in the last few weeks. Both the atmosphere and the ocean are now showing clear signs of being in a La Niña-like pattern and a number of forecast models suggest that this trend will continue in the months ahead. All seven climate models predict La Nina Thresholds to be met in November, while six of the seven suggest it will last through to January and four toFebruary. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently weakly negative, however climate models predict the return to neutral phase by late spring. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and the remainder of spring.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Past 5 Days

    Mintabie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Oct 14
    - -
    -
    Friday
    Oct 15
    - -
    -
    Saturday
    Oct 16
    - -
    -
    Sunday
    Oct 17
    - -
    -
    Monday
    Oct 18
    - -
    -
    Legend
  13. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mintabie Rain Forecast


    Mintabie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 8 November to 12 November, and 14 November to 18 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mintabie minimum temp history (27.3149°S, 133.2988°E, 365m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month -
    Hottest on record 43.0 31/10/1995 Coldest on record 2.9 10/10/1982
    Hottest this year 44.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 2.5° 30/04/2020
    Long term average 30.5° Long term average 15.2°
    Average this month - Average this month -
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.5° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 11.9° 2001
    Mintabie rainfall history (27.3149°S, 133.2988°E, 365m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 23.2mm 4.4 days Wettest October on record 121.0mm 2010
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mintabie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 211.5mm 32.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 12.5mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 43.5mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 3.0mm Jan 6
    Lowest Temperature 2.5°C Apr30
    Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mintabie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.0 35.6 32.3 28.0 22.8 18.9 19.1 22.1 26.9 30.5 33.3 35.1 28.3
    Mean Min (°C) 22.1 21.3 18.1 13.8 9.1 5.3 4.8 6.6 11.1 15.2 18.5 20.5 13.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 28.0 30.8 28.7 13.3 12.6 14.8 11.6 8.5 14.4 18.8 24.1 34.8 229.6
    Mean Rain Days 3.8 3.7 2.8 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.7 2.5 3.2 4.5 4.7 36.9