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Forecast

Macgillivray (35.8484°S, 137.5437°E, 21m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 19°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:06am CDT 6:33am CDT 7:38pm CDT 8:04pm CDT
    NOW
    18.8° Feels Like: 15.2°
    Relative Humidity: 58%
    Dew: 10.4°
    Wind: ENE 19km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Macgillivray
    Now
    18.8°c
    Feels Like:
    15.2°
    Wind:
    ENE 19km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    58%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Macgillivray
    Sunny. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    13°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the evening. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h tending NE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning then tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 20.

    Forecast for Macgillivray (35.8484°S, 137.5437°E, 21m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Sunny Late shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine
    Minimum 13° 11°
    Maximum 19° 24° 21° 20° 18° 16° 18°
    Chance of rain 5% 60% 30% 90% 20% 30% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High Very High High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ESE ENE NE NW WNW WNW WSW SW SSW SSE SSE E E
    Relative humidity 80% 51% 62% 49% 89% 62% 86% 64% 73% 54% 69% 57% 76% 53%
    Dew point 11°C 9°C 10°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 12°C 12°C 8°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Macgillivray Rain Forecast


    Macgillivray 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 8 November to 12 November, and 14 November to 18 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Macgillivray Rain Forecast


    Macgillivray 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    7
    8
    7
    8
    6
    5
    8
    6
    4
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however six of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds will be met again between November and January. IOD status: Negative, neutral levels predicted from late spring. SAM status: Near neutral, forecast to be mostly positive from October to December. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, Over the past few months, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have been getting abnormally cool. This oceanic cooling has also been accompanied by a response in the atmosphere, which has included trade winds strengthening over the central and western Pacific Ocean in the last few weeks. Both the atmosphere and the ocean are now showing clear signs of being in a La Niña-like pattern and a number of forecast models suggest that this trend will continue in the months ahead. All seven climate models predict La Nina Thresholds to be met in November, while six of the seven suggest it will last through to January and four toFebruary. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently weakly negative, however climate models predict the return to neutral phase by late spring. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and the remainder of spring.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

    Macgillivray Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Macgillivray

  12. Past 5 Days

    Macgillivray Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Oct 15
    10.6 °C 17.4 °C
    3.2 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 16
    10.8 °C 15.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 17
    3.7 °C 19.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Oct 18
    10.0 °C 19.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 19
    5.5 °C 19.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  13. Long range rainfall forecast

    Macgillivray Rain Forecast


    Macgillivray 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 8 November to 12 November, and 14 November to 18 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Macgillivray minimum temp history (35.8484°S, 137.5437°E, 21m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.7° 12/10/2021 Coldest this month 1.4° 08/10/2021
    Hottest on record 33.8 21/10/2014 Coldest on record -2.0 09/10/2007
    Hottest this year 40.9° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -0.8° 30/05/2021
    Long term average 20.3° Long term average 7.2°
    Average this month 17.8° Average this month 6.9°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.0° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 5.1° 2006
    Macgillivray rainfall history (35.8484°S, 137.5437°E, 21m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.0mm 14/10/2021 Total This Month 21.6mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 28.9mm 10.3 days Wettest October on record 82.0mm 2000
    Driest on record 0.2mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Macgillivray Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 403.3mm 124.4 day(s)
    Total For 2021 381.6mm 129.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 489.6mm 131.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.8mm Feb 5
    Lowest Temperature -0.8°C May30
    Highest Temperature 40.9°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Macgillivray Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.8 26.4 24.6 21.9 18.6 16.1 15.4 16.0 17.9 20.3 23.2 25.2 21.0
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.5 11.4 8.9 7.9 6.6 6.0 5.7 6.4 7.2 9.6 11.0 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 13.6 19.5 23.2 26.6 48.8 67.9 69.1 58.2 47.5 28.9 22.1 19.7 446.8
    Mean Rain Days 4.3 4.6 6.4 9.2 15.3 19.2 20.2 19.4 15.5 10.3 7.3 7.1 139.2