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Forecast

Emu Downs (33.9335°S, 138.9886°E, 452m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 14° 19°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:42am CST 6:07am CST 6:08pm CST 6:33pm CST
    NOW
    12.4° Feels Like: 11.7°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 12.2°
    Wind: NE 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure: 1011.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Emu Downs
    Now
    15.1°c
    Feels Like:
    16.0°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    14°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Emu Downs
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon, possibly severe with gusty winds and possible heavy falls. Winds NE 30 to 45 km/h turning NW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then tending W/NW 20 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    10°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Mostly sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the late afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 35 to 50 km/h in the morning then turning W 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Emu Downs

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon, possibly severe with gusty winds and possible heavy falls. Winds NE 30 to 45 km/h turning NW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then tending W/NW 20 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.

    Forecast for Emu Downs (33.9335°S, 138.9886°E, 452m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Late shower Late shower Windy with showers Possible shower Showers increasing Showers
    Minimum 14° 10°
    Maximum 19° 26° 18° 15° 14° 15° 11°
    Chance of rain 90% 40% 60% 70% 60% 70% 60%
    Likely amount 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate High Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NNE N N NW WNW W W W WSW W WNW WSW SW
    Relative humidity 92% 85% 74% 43% 45% 43% 66% 55% 74% 61% 71% 55% 73% 56%
    Dew point 14°C 16°C 12°C 13°C 2°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 4°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Emu Downs Rain Forecast


    Emu Downs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 September to 28 September, 1 October to 5 October, and 11 October to 15 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Emu Downs Rain Forecast


    Emu Downs 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    4
    7
    8
    8
    8
    7
    9
    5
    4
    7
    3
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Emu Downs Rain Forecast


    Emu Downs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 September to 28 September, 1 October to 5 October, and 11 October to 15 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Emu Downs Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Sep 14
    6.6 °C 17.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 15
    4.1 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 16
    7.9 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 17
    12.1 °C 15.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18
    11.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Emu Downs minimum temp history (33.9335°S, 138.9886°E, 452m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.4° 07/09/2020 Coldest this month 4.1° 10/09/2020
    Hottest on record 31.1 27/09/2008 Coldest on record 0.0 19/09/1994
    Hottest this year 42.5° 30/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.2° 11/06/2020
    Long term average 17.1° Long term average 6.4°
    Average this month 19.7° Average this month 8.2°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.7° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 1969
    Emu Downs rainfall history (33.9335°S, 138.9886°E, 452m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.4mm 13/09/2020 Total This Month 5.2mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 49.6mm 11.9 days Wettest September on record 137.2mm 2016
    Driest on record 8.6mm 1938
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Emu Downs Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 352.1mm 85.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 287.9mm 95.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 173.7mm 93.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.8mm Feb 1
    Lowest Temperature -1.2°C Jun11
    Highest Temperature 42.5°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Emu Downs Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.3 29.1 25.7 21.4 17.0 13.7 13.1 14.4 17.1 20.8 24.6 27.0 21.1
    Mean Min (°C) 14.0 14.3 12.3 9.9 7.7 5.7 5.0 5.3 6.4 8.1 10.4 12.4 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 22.4 22.9 21.1 33.7 45.0 51.8 50.5 55.1 49.6 40.0 30.1 27.0 448.6
    Mean Rain Days 4.3 3.8 4.7 7.7 11.3 13.5 14.4 14.3 11.9 9.7 6.6 5.6 106.6