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Forecast

Durham Downs (30.5945°S, 138.4059°E, 256m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 16°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:48am CST 7:14am CST 5:27pm CST 5:53pm CST
    NOW
    15.0° Feels Like: 9.1°
    Relative Humidity: 42%
    Dew: 2.2°
    Wind: SW 22km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1020.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Durham Downs
    Now
    17.7°c
    Feels Like:
    10.6°
    Wind:
    SW 28km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    35%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Durham Downs
    Sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost. Light winds becoming SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Durham Downs

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 23.

    Forecast for Durham Downs (30.5945°S, 138.4059°E, 256m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 16° 17° 16° 17° 18° 16° 17°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 5% 20% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW WSW SSW SW S S SSE S SE SE ESE ESE ENE N
    Relative humidity 80% 40% 72% 51% 70% 44% 72% 41% 69% 39% 68% 37% 60% 35%
    Dew point 5°C 3°C 3°C 7°C 3°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 2°C 2°C 2°C 2°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Durham Downs Rain Forecast


    Durham Downs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 July to 14 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 20 July to 24 July, and 28 July to 1 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 July to 14 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 5 August to 9 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Durham Downs Rain Forecast


    Durham Downs 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    9
    7
    9
    9
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Durham Downs Rain Forecast


    Durham Downs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 July to 14 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 20 July to 24 July, and 28 July to 1 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 July to 14 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 5 August to 9 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Durham Downs Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 28
    0.3 °C 15.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 29
    -1.3 °C 15.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 30
    1.0 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 01
    5.8 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 02
    7.9 °C 15.9 °C
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Durham Downs minimum temp history (30.5945°S, 138.4059°E, 256m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.4° 01/07/2020 Coldest this month 5.8° 01/07/2020
    Hottest on record 26.3 27/07/2002 Coldest on record -2.4 16/07/1997
    Hottest this year 44.9° 09/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.3° 29/06/2020
    Long term average 16.6° Long term average 4.8°
    Average this month 17.8° Average this month 6.8°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.5° 2002 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 2.1° 1997
    Durham Downs rainfall history (30.5945°S, 138.4059°E, 256m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/07/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 16.4mm 6.3 days Wettest July on record 53.4mm 1989
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1997
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Durham Downs Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 142.5mm 28.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 106.0mm 17.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 37.6mm 11.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.0mm Feb 1
    Lowest Temperature -1.3°C Jun29
    Highest Temperature 44.9°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Durham Downs Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 35.6 34.8 31.3 26.2 21.1 17.1 16.6 19.1 23.4 27.2 30.9 33.3 26.3
    Mean Min (°C) 20.8 20.5 17.5 12.9 8.9 5.6 4.8 6.1 9.4 12.6 16.3 18.7 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 25.0 27.5 20.1 16.3 18.5 18.7 16.4 16.9 20.1 17.4 18.9 23.9 239.9
    Mean Rain Days 3.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 4.1 5.4 6.3 4.9 4.3 3.9 4.4 4.0 46.3