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Forecast

Black Point (34.6152°S, 137.9042°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 14° 22°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:01am CDT 6:30am CDT 8:33pm CDT 9:01pm CDT
    NOW
    15.1° Feels Like: 5.9°
    Relative Humidity: 82%
    Dew: 12.1°
    Wind: W 50km/h
    Gust: 57km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 2.0mm
    Pressure: 998.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Black Point
    Now
    14.9°c
    Feels Like:
    9.8°
    Wind:
    WNW 32km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Clearing shower
     
    14°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Black Point
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers this morning. Winds W/SW 30 to 45 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers this morning. Winds W/SW 30 to 45 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.

    Forecast for Black Point (34.6152°S, 137.9042°E, 0m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 14° 13° 14° 14° 14° 13° 13°
    Maximum 22° 25° 27° 29° 30° 29° 32°
    Chance of rain 20% 30% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 45
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W W W W W S WSW SSE SW S S ESE SSE
    Relative humidity 53% 35% 59% 43% 67% 45% 70% 41% 69% 34% 67% 33% 55% 17%
    Dew point 8°C 6°C 11°C 12°C 14°C 14°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 12°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Black Point Rain Forecast


    Black Point 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Black Point Rain Forecast


    Black Point 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    9
    6
    7
    6
    6
    7
    7
    5
    6
    6
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Black Point Rain Forecast


    Black Point 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Black Point Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    10.5 °C 27.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    14.7 °C 24.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    15.7 °C 24.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    8.3 °C 27.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    18.5 °C 23 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Black Point minimum temp history (34.6152°S, 137.9042°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.6° 03/01/2020 Coldest this month 8.3° 21/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.6 28/01/2009 Coldest on record 6.4 09/01/2004
    Hottest this year 42.6° 03/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.3° 21/01/2020
    Long term average 29.5° Long term average 15.3°
    Average this month 28.8° Average this month 14.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.2° 2014 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.6° 2004
    Black Point rainfall history (34.6152°S, 137.9042°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.4mm 05/01/2020 Total This Month 9.2mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 15.5mm 4.7 days Wettest January on record 42.6mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Black Point Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 15.5mm 4.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 9.2mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 6.4mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 8.3°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 42.6°C Jan 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Black Point Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.6 26.8 23.2 19.5 16.2 15.3 16.4 19.2 22.5 26.0 27.6 22.5
    Mean Min (°C) 15.3 15.3 14.0 11.9 10.0 8.0 7.0 6.7 8.0 9.3 11.8 13.5 10.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 15.5 19.4 17.9 25.3 40.6 55.4 49.3 42.3 37.5 23.7 22.6 18.9 368.6
    Mean Rain Days 4.7 3.6 5.4 8.8 13.1 17.9 18.5 18.6 14.5 8.6 6.9 6.7 121.3