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Forecast

Black Hill (34.7028°S, 139.4568°E, 50m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 14° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:56am CDT 6:24am CDT 8:26pm CDT 8:54pm CDT
    NOW
    16.0° Feels Like: 14.9°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 13.5°
    Wind: NNW 11km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Black Hill
    Now
    10.6°c
    Feels Like:
    10.4°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Mostly sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Black Hill
    The chance of fog early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    15°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the west in the early morning. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 30 km/h in the afternoon then tending S in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Black Hill

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: The chance of fog early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.

    Forecast for Black Hill (34.7028°S, 139.4568°E, 50m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 14° 15° 15° 14° 14° 19° 26°
    Maximum 28° 29° 29° 29° 36° 43° 43°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WSW WSW SSW SSW SSW SW SSW ENE ENE NE NE NNE NNW
    Relative humidity 69% 38% 76% 38% 72% 39% 71% 29% 63% 14% 31% 6% 26% 17%
    Dew point 14°C 13°C 16°C 14°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 10°C 13°C 4°C 9°C -2°C 12°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Black Hill Rain Forecast


    Black Hill 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Black Hill Rain Forecast


    Black Hill 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    8
    7
    7
    7
    5
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    5
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Black Hill Rain Forecast


    Black Hill 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Black Hill Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    15.0 °C 19.7 °C
    14.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    14.9 °C 29.7 °C
    2.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    15.8 °C 29.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    14.6 °C 22.8 °C
    0.6 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    10.0 °C 25 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Black Hill minimum temp history (34.7028°S, 139.4568°E, 50m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.9° 03/01/2020 Coldest this month 8.9° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 48.0 28/01/2009 Coldest on record 6.9 03/01/2009
    Hottest this year 42.9° 03/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.9° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 30.6° Long term average 14.4°
    Average this month 28.4° Average this month 13.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.4° 2009 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.5° 2013
    Black Hill rainfall history (34.7028°S, 139.4568°E, 50m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.6mm 20/01/2020 Total This Month 20.0mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 14.4mm 3.8 days Wettest January on record 39.6mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Black Hill Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 14.4mm 3.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 20.0mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.4mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 14.6mm Jan20
    Lowest Temperature 8.9°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Black Hill Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.6 29.7 27.6 23.2 19.3 16.0 15.4 17.3 20.4 24.0 27.1 28.9 23.2
    Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.3 12.5 9.2 7.5 5.3 4.7 4.4 5.3 7.4 10.5 12.3 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 14.4 23.9 23.9 29.3 30.4 33.0 39.3 27.7 37.7 17.5 20.0 30.4 327.8
    Mean Rain Days 3.8 4.5 6.3 9.8 12.3 13.9 16.2 13.5 12.0 6.7 6.1 7.0 105.4