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Forecast

Ashton (34.9397°S, 138.7374°E, 524m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 11°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:38am CST 6:03am CST 6:12pm CST 6:38pm CST
    NOW
    8.7° Feels Like: 4.7°
    Relative Humidity: 67%
    Dew: 2.9°
    Wind: NW 13km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Ashton
    Now
    10.1°c
    Feels Like:
    5.3°
    Wind:
    NW 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Clearing shower
     
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Ashton
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning, easing and contracting to the S in the afternoon. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S, most likely in the morning. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h turning SE in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Ashton

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning, easing and contracting to the S in the afternoon. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.

    Forecast for Ashton (34.9397°S, 138.7374°E, 524m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Clearing shower Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Possible shower Thunderstorms Possible shower
    Minimum 12°
    Maximum 11° 10° 15° 20° 19° 13° 13°
    Chance of rain 50% 10% 5% 50% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Moderate Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW S S E NE NE NE NE NNW WNW WNW WNW WSW
    Relative humidity 89% 70% 73% 69% 62% 52% 47% 43% 53% 62% 93% 86% 95% 86%
    Dew point 9°C 5°C 3°C 4°C 1°C 5°C 2°C 8°C 5°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ashton Rain Forecast


    Ashton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ashton Rain Forecast


    Ashton 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    4
    7
    7
    7
    7
    5
    7
    5
    4
    7
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ashton Rain Forecast


    Ashton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ashton Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    5.5 °C 12.2 °C
    2.4 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    4.5 °C 7.6 °C
    9.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    1.9 °C 9.0 °C
    4.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    5.6 °C 9.5 °C
    2.6 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23
    6.2 °C 15.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ashton minimum temp history (34.9397°S, 138.7374°E, 524m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.0° 02/09/2021 Coldest this month 1.9° 21/09/2021
    Hottest on record 27.0 24/09/1990 Coldest on record 0.6 05/09/1995
    Hottest this year 37.2° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 1.2° 22/07/2021
    Long term average 12.8° Long term average 6.3°
    Average this month 13.6° Average this month 6.5°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.5° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 5.0° 2002
    Ashton rainfall history (34.9397°S, 138.7374°E, 524m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.4mm 13/09/2021 Total This Month 41.4mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 111.6mm 17.9 days Wettest September on record 312.2mm 2016
    Driest on record 31.4mm 2018
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Ashton Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 830.9mm 138.7 day(s)
    Total For 2021 707.0mm 134.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 761.8mm 138.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.0mm Jun18
    Lowest Temperature 1.2°C Jul22
    Highest Temperature 37.2°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ashton Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.1 22.9 20.1 16.5 12.5 9.8 9.0 10.0 12.8 15.9 18.7 20.9 16.0
    Mean Min (°C) 12.6 12.8 11.3 9.9 7.8 5.7 5.0 5.1 6.3 7.7 9.4 10.9 8.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 36.2 39.4 42.3 56.3 121.0 136.2 152.9 135.0 111.6 63.1 43.9 51.0 990.8
    Mean Rain Days 6.8 8.2 10.8 12.1 19.3 19.9 22.5 21.2 17.9 13.4 11.2 10.8 174.7