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Forecast

Ardrossan (34.423°S, 137.9168°E, 17m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 15°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:41am CST 6:06am CST 6:15pm CST 6:40pm CST
    NOW
    6.5° Feels Like: 3.2°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 4.7°
    Wind: N 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ardrossan
    Now
    3.0°c
    Feels Like:
    -0.6°
    Wind:
    NE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Ardrossan
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S during the morning. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning SW 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h turning SE 15 to 25 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Ardrossan

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S during the morning. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning SW 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18.

    Forecast for Ardrossan (34.423°S, 137.9168°E, 17m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Clearing shower Cloud increasing Mostly cloudy Clearing shower Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 12° 16° 13° 12°
    Maximum 15° 13° 17° 22° 21° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 50% 60% 5% 40% 50% 50% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW S S E ESE NE NNE N NW WNW WNW W WSW
    Relative humidity 74% 50% 67% 56% 55% 41% 37% 33% 42% 45% 74% 60% 75% 61%
    Dew point 10°C 5°C 6°C 5°C 4°C 4°C 3°C 5°C 6°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ardrossan Rain Forecast


    Ardrossan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ardrossan Rain Forecast


    Ardrossan 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    4
    8
    8
    7
    8
    6
    7
    5
    4
    7
    4
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ardrossan Rain Forecast


    Ardrossan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ardrossan Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Sep 18
    - -
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    - 25.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    14.8 °C 14.2 °C
    3.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    5.7 °C 15.0 °C
    0.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    9.3 °C -
    1.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ardrossan minimum temp history (34.423°S, 137.9168°E, 17m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.7° 02/09/2021 Coldest this month 5.7° 21/09/2021
    Hottest on record 33.8 27/09/2008 Coldest on record 1.1 06/09/1957
    Hottest this year 42.2° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 4.4° 19/07/2021
    Long term average 18.1° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 21.0° Average this month 10.0°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.0° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 6.5° 1969
    Ardrossan rainfall history (34.423°S, 137.9168°E, 17m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.4mm 13/09/2021 Total This Month 12.9mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.8mm 12.1 days Wettest September on record 125.0mm 2016
    Driest on record 6.1mm 1904
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Ardrossan Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 406.1mm 90.2 day(s)
    Total For 2021 241.7mm 48.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 362.5mm 72.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 20.4mm Jul26
    Lowest Temperature 4.4°C Jul19
    Highest Temperature 42.2°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ardrossan Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.1 28.8 26.1 22.4 18.4 15.4 14.5 15.6 18.1 21.5 24.8 26.7 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 15.6 16.0 14.5 12.4 10.1 7.9 7.0 7.4 8.7 10.2 12.3 14.1 11.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 17.7 20.7 21.2 40.5 59.9 68.3 66.0 61.0 50.8 41.8 27.7 24.5 499.1
    Mean Rain Days 4.0 3.6 4.8 8.5 12.3 14.6 15.5 14.8 12.1 9.8 6.7 5.4 111.9