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Forecast

American Beach (35.7769°S, 137.8765°E, 4m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 11° 15°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:40am CST 6:05am CST 6:15pm CST 6:40pm CST
    NOW
    12.6° Feels Like: 8.3°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 11.3°
    Wind: NW 24km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    American Beach
    Now
    6.6°c
    Feels Like:
    4.3°
    Wind:
    NW 7km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Clearing shower
     
    11°
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in American Beach
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 40 km/h before tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 15.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SE in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching around 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 40 km/h before tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 15.

    Forecast for American Beach (35.7769°S, 137.8765°E, 4m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Clearing shower Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Clearing shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 11° 14° 12° 11°
    Maximum 15° 13° 15° 20° 20° 17° 16°
    Chance of rain 70% 40% 5% 60% 90% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 33
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW S SSE ENE E NE ENE NNE NNW NW WNW W SW
    Relative humidity 71% 66% 65% 62% 69% 60% 59% 61% 64% 71% 86% 81% 85% 82%
    Dew point 8°C 8°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 12°C 11°C 14°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    American Beach Rain Forecast


    American Beach 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    American Beach Rain Forecast


    American Beach 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    3
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    5
    5
    8
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    American Beach Rain Forecast


    American Beach 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    American Beach Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    10.8 °C 17.5 °C
    1.6 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    9.0 °C 12.3 °C
    5.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    7.5 °C 13.4 °C
    3.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    10.4 °C 15.4 °C
    1.2 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23
    11.4 °C 16.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    American Beach minimum temp history (35.7769°S, 137.8765°E, 4m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.0° 02/09/2021 Coldest this month 7.5° 13/09/2021
    Hottest on record 27.3 26/09/1987 Coldest on record 2.0 06/09/1995
    Hottest this year 37.8° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 6.2° 25/07/2021
    Long term average 15.9° Long term average 10.4°
    Average this month 16.6° Average this month 10.7°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.3° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 1969
    American Beach rainfall history (35.7769°S, 137.8765°E, 4m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.0mm 04/09/2021 Total This Month 26.0mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 56.2mm 14.5 days Wettest September on record 234.8mm 2016
    Driest on record 9.4mm 1951
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    American Beach Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 448.0mm 108.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 420.5mm 106.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 473.1mm 99.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 24.0mm Jul26
    Lowest Temperature 6.2°C Jul25
    Highest Temperature 37.8°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    American Beach Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.9 21.8 20.7 19.2 17.0 14.9 14.2 14.5 15.9 17.7 19.3 20.8 18.1
    Mean Min (°C) 15.9 16.3 15.6 14.2 12.6 10.8 9.8 9.7 10.4 11.5 13.1 14.5 12.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 18.1 18.2 21.4 39.1 62.0 75.9 82.6 74.5 56.2 41.7 28.0 22.8 542.9
    Mean Rain Days 4.7 4.6 6.6 10.2 14.6 16.5 18.5 17.9 14.5 11.5 8.1 6.8 134.5