Forecast
Walter Lever Estate (17.7304°S, 145.9769°E, 20m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY21° 33° fog then sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:09am EST 5:33am EST 6:41pm EST 7:05pm EST NOW22.4° Feels Like: 26.7° Relative Humidity: 93% Dew: 21.2° Wind: CAL 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 14.8mm Pressure: 1012.2hPa -
Today Weather
Walter Lever EstateNow22.2°cFeels Like:26.2°Wind:NW 2km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:95%21°Min33°MaxToday in Walter Lever EstateMostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm inland in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 36.Tomorrow21°Min33°MaxSunny. Light winds becoming E 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 37. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Walter Lever Estate
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm inland in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 36.
Forecast for Walter Lever Estate (17.7304°S, 145.9769°E, 20m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 21° 21° 21° 22° 22° 22° 22° Maximum 33° 33° 31° 30° 31° 32° 33° Chance of rain 5% 20% 70% 90% 90% 50% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)15
(km/h)3
(km/h)15
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)2
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction NE ENE E ESE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE ESE ESE Relative humidity 61% 62% 60% 57% 57% 62% 84% 85% 86% 84% 77% 68% 66% 67% Dew point 22°C 24°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 23°C 25°C 27°C 26°C 27°C 24°C 25°C 23°C 26°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Walter Lever Estate Rain Forecast
Walter Lever Estate 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT7
8
9
MEDIUM10
HIGH11
HIGH12
MEDIUM13
14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
24
25
26
27
28
29
LOW30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
3
4
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Walter Lever Estate Rain Forecast
Walter Lever Estate 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020436576698785105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Walter Lever Estate Rain Forecast
Walter Lever Estate 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT7
8
9
MEDIUM10
HIGH11
HIGH12
MEDIUM13
14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
24
25
26
27
28
29
LOW30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
3
4
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Walter Lever Estate Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0222.1 °C 33.1 °C 1.6 mmTuesday
Dec 0322.1 °C 35.9 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 0421.4 °C 33.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 0522.6 °C 33.1 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0623.0 °C 33 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Walter Lever Estate minimum temp history (17.7304°S, 145.9769°E, 20m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.9° 03/12/2019 Coldest this month 20.1° 01/12/2019 Hottest on record 40.4 29/12/1971 Coldest on record 14.9 23/12/1965 Hottest this year 40.5° 21/02/2019 Coldest this year 8.0° 23/08/2019 Long term average 31.3° Long term average 22.1° Average this month 33.2° Average this month 21.7° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.4° 1971 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 19.6° 1972 Walter Lever Estate rainfall history (17.7304°S, 145.9769°E, 20m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.6mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 1.6mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 266.3mm 14.2 days Wettest December on record 1048.7mm 1971 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Walter Lever Estate Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 3410.1mm 192.2 day(s) Total For 2019 2547.2mm 194.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 4207.6mm 184.0 day(s) Wettest Day 139.8mm Jan27 Lowest Temperature 8.0°C Aug23 Highest Temperature 40.5°C Feb21 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Walter Lever Estate Climatology
Walter Lever Estate Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.4 30.9 30.0 28.3 26.3 24.6 24.0 25.4 27.3 29.1 30.6 31.3 28.3 Mean Min (°C) 22.7 22.9 22.2 20.7 18.7 16.2 15.2 15.6 16.9 19.0 20.8 22.1 19.4 Mean Rain (mm) 540.3 594.6 629.4 405.2 277.2 159.9 113.6 90.9 84.5 98.8 149.4 266.3 3414.9 Mean Rain Days 18.3 18.9 21.2 20.0 18.8 15.8 15.6 13.9 12.2 11.3 12.0 14.2 189.4