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Forecast

Tugun Heights (28.1508°S, 153.4823°E, 40m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Hazy 19° 32°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:15am EDT 5:41am EDT 7:32pm EDT 7:59pm EDT
    NOW
    29.7° Feels Like: 28.1°
    Relative Humidity: 49%
    Dew: 17.8°
    Wind: NNE 22km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1007.1hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Tugun Heights
    Now
    31.0°c
    Feels Like:
    29.6°
    Wind:
    NNE 31km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    59%
    Hazy
     
    19°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Tugun Heights
    Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 35 to 41.
    Tomorrow
    Hazy
    21°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 42.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 35 to 41.

    Forecast for Tugun Heights (28.1508°S, 153.4823°E, 40m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Hazy Hazy Hazy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 19° 21° 20° 21° 21° 22° 21°
    Maximum 32° 32° 29° 28° 29° 30° 28°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 60% 20% 5% 50% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		31
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NE ENE ESE S SSE SSE SE NNE NE N NNE N NNE
    Relative humidity 40% 51% 51% 61% 69% 69% 74% 72% 68% 66% 65% 65% 65% 64%
    Dew point 16°C 19°C 19°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 20°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tugun Heights Rain Forecast

    Tugun Heights 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tugun Heights Rain Forecast

    Tugun Heights 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    6
    5
    7
    7
    7
    3
    6
    6
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tugun Heights Rain Forecast

    Tugun Heights 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tugun Heights Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 02     		19.7 °C 33.7 °C
    10.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03     		16.2 °C 29.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04     		13.0 °C 31.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05     		14.4 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06     		14 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Tugun Heights minimum temp history (28.1508°S, 153.4823°E, 40m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.7° 02/12/2019 Coldest this month 13.0° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 38.0 26/12/2001 Coldest on record 12.2 07/12/2013
    Hottest this year 33.7° 02/12/2019 Coldest this year 0.9° 15/07/2019
    Long term average 27.3° Long term average 19.8°
    Average this month 30.7° Average this month 16.9°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.2° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 17.5° 1999
    Tugun Heights rainfall history (28.1508°S, 153.4823°E, 40m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.6mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 21.2mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 155.2mm 13.5 days Wettest December on record 493.8mm 2005

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Tugun Heights Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1532.6mm 155.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 774.8mm 125.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 977.6mm 135.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.4mm Mar17
    Lowest Temperature 0.9°C Jul15
    Highest Temperature 33.7°C Dec 2

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Tugun Heights Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.4 28.3 27.4 25.4 23.2 21.0 20.6 21.5 23.3 24.5 26.0 27.3 24.7
    Mean Min (°C) 21.0 20.9 19.7 17.0 14.0 11.3 10.1 10.4 13.3 15.9 18.2 19.8 15.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 171.7 174.8 187.5 168.5 139.7 140.1 74.8 62.3 41.2 87.4 129.4 155.2 1532.8
    Mean Rain Days 14.7 16.0 17.8 15.6 15.0 13.4 10.3 8.3 8.6 10.0 12.4 13.5 143.1

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