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Forecast

Thursday Island (10.5838°S, 142.2206°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 25° 34°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:39am EST 6:02am EST 6:46pm EST 7:09pm EST
    NOW
    26.6° Feels Like: 32.3°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 23.9°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1007.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Thursday Island
    Now
    25.6°c
    Feels Like:
    30.8°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    25°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Thursday Island
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers north of Weipa, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/NE in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 38.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    26°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers north of Weipa, most likely from the late morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending E/NE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 41.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Thursday Island

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers north of Weipa, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/NE in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 38.

    Forecast for Thursday Island (10.5838°S, 142.2206°E, 6m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 25° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26°
    Maximum 34° 34° 34° 34° 34° 34° 34°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 40% 5% 10% 40% 20%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW W SSW W SSW W ESE NE ESE E ESE ESE SE ESE
    Relative humidity 68% 63% 68% 63% 69% 61% 66% 59% 64% 59% 63% 56% 59% 56%
    Dew point 24°C 26°C 24°C 26°C 24°C 26°C 24°C 25°C 24°C 25°C 23°C 24°C 22°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Thursday Island Rain Forecast


    Thursday Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Thursday Island Rain Forecast


    Thursday Island 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    3
    7
    5
    6
    5
    6
    9
    9
    8
    8
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Thursday Island Rain Forecast


    Thursday Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Thursday Island Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Dec 07
    26.1 °C 32.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08
    27.5 °C 32.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09
    27.5 °C 33.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    27.3 °C 33.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    26.4 °C 34 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Thursday Island minimum temp history (10.5838°S, 142.2206°E, 6m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.5° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 24.9° 02/12/2019
    Hottest on record 37.9 08/12/2002 Coldest on record 20.3 07/12/2002
    Hottest this year 33.5° 09/12/2019 Coldest this year 15.1° 08/09/2019
    Long term average 31.9° Long term average 25.8°
    Average this month 32.9° Average this month 26.8°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.6° 2002 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 24.8° 2000
    Thursday Island rainfall history (10.5838°S, 142.2206°E, 6m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 196.0mm 13.4 days Wettest December on record 707.2mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Thursday Island Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1878.4mm 139.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 1214.4mm 119.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1443.8mm 105.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 100.6mm Jan 3
    Lowest Temperature 15.1°C Sep 8
    Highest Temperature 33.5°C Dec 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Thursday Island Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.9 30.5 30.5 30.6 30.1 29.4 28.9 29.1 30.1 31.0 31.9 31.9 30.4
    Mean Min (°C) 25.2 25.0 25.0 25.3 24.8 24.0 23.2 23.0 23.8 24.8 25.7 25.8 24.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 423.2 466.7 365.0 255.3 72.7 16.1 9.9 6.1 5.9 15.6 45.9 196.0 1889.4
    Mean Rain Days 21.8 21.1 20.2 15.9 10.7 9.7 8.5 5.4 3.2 4.2 5.4 13.4 133.1