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Forecast

Thornville (27.0634°S, 151.8456°E, 483m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 11° 30°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:46am EST 5:10am EST 6:05pm EST 6:29pm EST
    NOW
    27.2° Feels Like: 22.1°
    Relative Humidity: 27%
    Dew: 6.6°
    Wind: ENE 22km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1020.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Thornville
    Now
    26.7°c
    Feels Like:
    23.5°
    Wind:
    NE 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    29%
    Sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Thornville
    Mostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Thornville

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.

    Forecast for Thornville (27.0634°S, 151.8456°E, 483m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 11° 15° 14° 17° 14° 13°
    Maximum 30° 32° 33° 35° 33° 30° 29°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 30% 20% 60% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E NNE E N ENE NNW NW WNW W ESE ESE E ESE
    Relative humidity 50% 22% 41% 15% 42% 16% 43% 16% 34% 13% 49% 26% 48% 27%
    Dew point 11°C 6°C 9°C 3°C 12°C 4°C 12°C 6°C 10°C 2°C 12°C 9°C 11°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Thornville Rain Forecast


    Thornville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Thornville Rain Forecast


    Thornville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    6
    4
    5
    3
    7
    5
    7
    7
    7
    3
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Thornville Rain Forecast


    Thornville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Thornville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 19
    15.3 °C 27.2 °C
    6.8 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 20
    8.4 °C 29.8 °C
    14.4 mm
    Monday
    Oct 21
    14.6 °C 25.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 22
    11.7 °C 26.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 23
    11.4 °C 29 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Thornville minimum temp history (27.0634°S, 151.8456°E, 483m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.4° 07/10/2019 Coldest this month 6.0° 13/10/2019
    Hottest on record 39.1 27/10/2014 Coldest on record -2.2 01/10/1984
    Hottest this year 40.0° 13/02/2019 Coldest this year -4.5° 16/07/2019
    Long term average 26.7° Long term average 11.3°
    Average this month 29.5° Average this month 12.2°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 2014 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 9.0° 2016
    Thornville rainfall history (27.0634°S, 151.8456°E, 483m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.4mm 20/10/2019 Total This Month 31.8mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 52.4mm 6.5 days Wettest October on record 164.8mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Thornville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 439.7mm 58.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 134.4mm 31.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 351.4mm 57.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.2mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -4.5°C Jul16
    Highest Temperature 40.0°C Feb13
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Thornville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.9 30.0 28.7 25.9 22.3 19.0 18.6 20.4 23.9 26.7 28.8 30.3 25.5
    Mean Min (°C) 17.9 17.7 15.8 11.8 7.8 4.3 2.9 3.7 7.3 11.3 14.6 16.7 10.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 75.3 77.2 50.0 28.1 40.2 30.6 28.3 25.7 31.9 52.4 76.8 85.3 599.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.7 6.5 6.2 4.9 5.6 5.7 5.7 4.5 5.3 6.5 7.6 7.8 72.1