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Forecast

The Summit (28.5767°S, 151.9481°E, 912m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 20° 30°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:55am EST 5:21am EST 6:50pm EST 7:15pm EST
    NOW
    20.3° Feels Like: 21.9°
    Relative Humidity: 89%
    Dew: 18.4°
    Wind: ENE 7km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    The Summit
    Now
    23.8°c
    Feels Like:
    25.3°
    Wind:
    SE 13km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    83%
    Mostly sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in The Summit
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower over the Granite Belt in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the New South Wales border during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 34 to 40.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    18°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to 20 to 27 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 39.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower over the Granite Belt in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the New South Wales border during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 34 to 40.

    Forecast for The Summit (28.5767°S, 151.9481°E, 912m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 20° 18° 17° 17° 19° 19° 16°
    Maximum 30° 31° 32° 33° 33° 24° 23°
    Chance of rain 30% 5% 5% 20% 60% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E E E NE ENE NNW NNW WNW WNW SE ESE SE ESE
    Relative humidity 70% 51% 62% 38% 60% 34% 58% 32% 55% 35% 75% 72% 86% 76%
    Dew point 19°C 19°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 14°C 17°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 16°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    The Summit Rain Forecast


    The Summit 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    The Summit Rain Forecast


    The Summit 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    5
    7
    7
    8
    7
    5
    5
    6
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    The Summit Rain Forecast


    The Summit 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    The Summit Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    19.7 °C 26.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    18.1 °C 28.9 °C
    3.6 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    17.0 °C 29.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    14.6 °C 30.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    16.8 °C 33 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    The Summit minimum temp history (28.5767°S, 151.9481°E, 912m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.1° 05/01/2020 Coldest this month 13.9° 04/01/2020
    Hottest on record 37.8 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 5.4 19/01/2010
    Hottest this year 37.1° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.9° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 26.5° Long term average 15.2°
    Average this month 30.0° Average this month 16.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.3° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.7° 1986
    The Summit rainfall history (28.5767°S, 151.9481°E, 912m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 75.6mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 102.2mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 99.5mm 12.6 days Wettest January on record 241.0mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    The Summit Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 99.5mm 12.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 102.2mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 15.6mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 75.6mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 13.9°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 37.1°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    The Summit Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.5 25.4 24.0 21.2 17.5 14.6 14.0 15.7 19.0 21.9 24.0 25.8 20.8
    Mean Min (°C) 15.2 15.1 13.4 9.7 6.1 3.2 2.0 2.8 5.8 9.0 11.7 13.8 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 99.5 83.3 72.4 44.4 49.1 39.1 43.5 42.8 44.2 70.9 81.0 98.2 768.4
    Mean Rain Days 12.6 11.6 11.2 8.8 10.0 10.3 9.5 8.0 7.3 9.5 10.9 11.5 116.7