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Forecast

The Monument (21.7597°S, 139.9135°E, 363m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 25° 32°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:53am EST 6:17am EST 7:28pm EST 7:52pm EST
    NOW
    24.1° Feels Like: 26.2°
    Relative Humidity: 84%
    Dew: 21.2°
    Wind: NNE 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 5.4mm
    Pressure: 1010.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    The Monument
    Now
    23.9°c
    Feels Like:
    27.4°
    Wind:
    NNE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Possible shower
     
    25°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in The Monument
    Cloudy. High chance of showers or rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, with possible heavy falls during this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    24°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers or rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, with possible heavy falls during this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.

    Forecast for The Monument (21.7597°S, 139.9135°E, 363m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible shower Thunderstorms Possible shower Thunderstorms Possible shower Possible shower Thunderstorms
    Minimum 25° 24° 23° 23° 23° 23° 24°
    Maximum 32° 30° 32° 30° 32° 34° 35°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 80% 90% 70% 80% 70%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ESE ESE SSE ESE SE E E ENE E ENE ENE NE ENE
    Relative humidity 80% 65% 77% 66% 75% 63% 76% 66% 74% 62% 69% 57% 66% 48%
    Dew point 23°C 24°C 22°C 23°C 22°C 24°C 22°C 23°C 22°C 24°C 23°C 25°C 21°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    The Monument Rain Forecast


    The Monument 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    The Monument Rain Forecast


    The Monument 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    4
    5
    7
    9
    9
    9
    8
    1
    8
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    The Monument Rain Forecast


    The Monument 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    The Monument Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    25.9 °C 34.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    26.1 °C 39.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    28.5 °C 37.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    24.9 °C 38.3 °C
    2.2 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    25.9 °C 37 °C
    2.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    The Monument minimum temp history (21.7597°S, 139.9135°E, 363m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 44.2° 16/01/2020 Coldest this month 22.9° 18/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.9 02/01/2014 Coldest on record 15.4 06/01/2005
    Hottest this year 44.2° 16/01/2020 Coldest this year 22.9° 18/01/2020
    Long term average 37.5° Long term average 24.5°
    Average this month 41.6° Average this month 26.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 41.3° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 22.6° 2001
    The Monument rainfall history (21.7597°S, 139.9135°E, 363m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.0mm 24/01/2020 Total This Month 6.2mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 68.9mm 7.9 days Wettest January on record 194.0mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    The Monument Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 68.9mm 7.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 6.2mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.2mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 3.0mm Jan24
    Lowest Temperature 22.9°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 44.2°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    The Monument Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.5 37.0 35.8 32.7 27.9 24.0 24.1 26.8 31.4 35.2 37.3 38.2 32.3
    Mean Min (°C) 24.5 23.5 21.9 17.3 12.1 8.5 7.3 9.1 14.2 18.1 21.6 23.8 16.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 68.9 72.9 34.8 12.4 12.0 11.4 7.8 4.0 11.7 10.1 33.9 62.6 339.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.9 6.3 4.5 1.7 1.7 2.0 1.3 0.9 2.0 2.6 5.3 6.9 39.1