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Forecast

Telina (23.8845°S, 151.2547°E, 29m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 21° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:58am EST 5:21am EST 6:01pm EST 6:24pm EST
    NOW
    23.2° Feels Like: 24.3°
    Relative Humidity: 78%
    Dew: 19.1°
    Wind: NNE 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Telina
    Now
    22.2°c
    Feels Like:
    24.6°
    Wind:
    N 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Mostly sunny
     
    21°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Telina
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the southwest in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south in the late afternoon and evening. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h turning N 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 35.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    21°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Telina

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the southwest in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south in the late afternoon and evening. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h turning N 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 35.

    Forecast for Telina (23.8845°S, 151.2547°E, 29m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 21° 20° 21° 20° 19° 18° 18°
    Maximum 28° 31° 29° 31° 28° 27° 27°
    Chance of rain 30% 40% 30% 40% 30% 20% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNE NW NE NNE NE WSW ENE SE ESE SE ESE SE E
    Relative humidity 65% 62% 65% 63% 69% 65% 57% 48% 56% 53% 51% 51% 57% 54%
    Dew point 19°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 18°C 18°C 16°C 16°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Telina Rain Forecast


    Telina 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    HIGH
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 October to 31 October, 6 November to 10 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 18 November to 22 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Telina Rain Forecast


    Telina 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    8
    3
    4
    2
    6
    7
    6
    6
    8
    8
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Telina Rain Forecast


    Telina 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    HIGH
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 October to 31 October, 6 November to 10 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 18 November to 22 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Telina Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 12
    15.3 °C 24.8 °C
    53.2 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 13
    15.7 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 14
    17.7 °C 26.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15
    21.3 °C 28.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16
    22.9 °C 27 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Telina minimum temp history (23.8845°S, 151.2547°E, 29m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.2° 08/10/2019 Coldest this month 13.4° 04/10/2019
    Hottest on record 35.9 14/10/2009 Coldest on record 11.0 18/10/2010
    Hottest this year 34.2° 08/10/2019 Coldest this year 6.4° 15/07/2019
    Long term average 27.5° Long term average 18.3°
    Average this month 27.7° Average this month 17.6°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.1° 2005 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 16.6° 2012
    Telina rainfall history (23.8845°S, 151.2547°E, 29m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 53.2mm 12/10/2019 Total This Month 64.0mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.5mm 6.8 days Wettest October on record 167.6mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Telina Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 723.3mm 71.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 352.2mm 76.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 482.0mm 66.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 53.2mm Oct12
    Lowest Temperature 6.4°C Jul15
    Highest Temperature 34.2°C Oct 8
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Telina Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.7 30.6 29.8 28.1 25.7 23.4 23.0 23.9 26.1 27.5 28.9 30.1 27.4
    Mean Min (°C) 23.0 23.0 21.8 19.0 15.6 13.3 11.9 12.6 15.6 18.3 20.5 22.2 18.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 150.4 178.6 120.5 43.3 37.3 44.0 30.6 35.6 31.5 51.5 60.7 108.8 900.8
    Mean Rain Days 11.5 11.7 9.6 5.9 5.9 6.5 5.0 4.3 4.3 6.8 7.7 10.0 85.1