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Forecast

Stanthorpe (28.6558°S, 151.9339°E, 794m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 13° 32°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:22am EST 4:48am EST 6:29pm EST 6:55pm EST
    NOW
    18.1° Feels Like: 17.8°
    Relative Humidity: 65%
    Dew: 11.4°
    Wind: NE 4km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Stanthorpe
    Now
    19.8°c
    Feels Like:
    18.0°
    Wind:
    NNE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    68%
    Mostly sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Stanthorpe
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the southwest, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the southwest in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the New South Wales border in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Stanthorpe

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the southwest, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Stanthorpe (28.6558°S, 151.9339°E, 794m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 14° 11° 13° 15° 11° 13°
    Maximum 32° 30° 30° 32° 29° 29° 30°
    Chance of rain 50% 30% 5% 30% 80% 40% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW N NE ENE NNE NNE N NNW NNE NE ENE NE NE NNE
    Relative humidity 44% 24% 46% 24% 39% 17% 47% 18% 46% 36% 55% 38% 48% 35%
    Dew point 11°C 9°C 12°C 8°C 8°C 3°C 12°C 5°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Stanthorpe Rain Forecast


    Stanthorpe 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 December to 16 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 26 December to 30 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 November to 2 December, 4 December to 8 December, and 10 December to 14 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 December to 13 December, and 22 December to 26 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Stanthorpe Rain Forecast


    Stanthorpe 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    7
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    6
    5
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Stanthorpe Rain Forecast


    Stanthorpe 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 December to 16 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 26 December to 30 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 November to 2 December, 4 December to 8 December, and 10 December to 14 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 December to 13 December, and 22 December to 26 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Stanthorpe Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Nov 18
    12.9 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    - 29.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    9.4 °C 35.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 21
    17.8 °C 30.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 22
    13.1 °C 33 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Stanthorpe minimum temp history (28.6558°S, 151.9339°E, 794m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.3° 20/11/2019 Coldest this month 2.1° 06/11/2019
    Hottest on record 37.0 15/11/2014 Coldest on record 0.0 17/11/2006
    Hottest this year 36.9° 19/01/2019 Coldest this year -7.0° 19/07/2019
    Long term average 25.3° Long term average 12.2°
    Average this month 28.4° Average this month 9.7°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.3° 2014 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 9.8° 1971
    Stanthorpe rainfall history (28.6558°S, 151.9339°E, 794m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.7mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 0.7mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 75.4mm 8.7 days Wettest November on record 255.4mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Stanthorpe Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 662.0mm 87.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 199.7mm 56.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 503.9mm 95.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.2mm Oct12
    Lowest Temperature -7.0°C Jul19
    Highest Temperature 36.9°C Jan19
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Stanthorpe Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.2 26.5 25.0 22.2 18.5 15.6 14.8 16.5 19.7 22.8 25.3 26.8 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 15.8 15.7 13.9 9.9 5.7 2.9 1.2 2.2 5.5 9.1 12.2 14.4 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 99.5 81.8 68.1 40.9 44.8 47.8 48.0 40.0 48.2 67.5 75.4 96.4 758.2
    Mean Rain Days 10.2 9.4 9.0 6.3 7.2 7.8 7.6 6.7 6.5 8.1 8.7 9.9 91.5