Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Balonne River
Issued at 12:27 PM EST on Friday 26 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 1
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT SURAT LATE THIS WEEKEND, WITH A MINOR PEAK DURING MONDAY
Rainfall of 40-85 mm recorded earlier this week in the lower reaches of the Condamine River has resulted in river rises through to Warkon on the Balonne River on Friday.
No significant rainfall is forecast for the Balonne River for the next few days.
Balonne River to Surat:
River rises are occurring along the upper reaches of the Balonne River at Warkon on Friday.
The Balonne River at Warkon was at 4.95 metres on Thursday (April 25) and rising slowly, below the minor flood level.
The Balonne River at Warkon is expected to remain below the minor flood level (7.00 m) during Saturday as a small flood peak passes through the area.
There are currently no observations for the Balonne River at Surat (manual gauge). However based on the nearby automatic gauge, the river level at Surat is about 3.3 metres and rising on Friday.
The Balonne River at Surat is likely to exceed the minor flood level (5.00 m) late this weekend, and may peak near 5.40 metres during Monday.
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Monday 29 April 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Condamine R at Brigalow Br TM,3.28,Falling,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Condamine R at Chinchilla Weir TW TM,2.72,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Charleys Ck at Burncluith Bridge Alert,0.985,Falling,09:30 AM FRI 26/04/24
Charleys Creek at Chinchilla Alert,2.41,Falling,11:49 AM FRI 26/04/24
Condamine R at Condamine Township Alert,3.20,Falling,12:20 PM FRI 26/04/24
Condamine R at Cotswold TM,6.43,Falling,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Dogwood Ck at Miles Alert,3.54,Steady,11:33 AM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Warkon,4.95,Steady,04:30 PM THU 25/04/24
Bungil Ck at Tabers TM,0.69,Steady,08:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Bungil Ck at Tindarra TM,0.00,Steady,09:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Bungil Ck at Roma TM,0.41,Steady,12:00 PM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Surat (manual),Not Available,Not Available,Not Available
Balonne R at Weribone TM,2.44,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Warroo TM,5.94,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Maranoa R at Forest Vale TM,0.27,Falling,12:00 PM FRI 26/04/24
Maranoa R at Old Cashmere TM,1.57,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Beardmore Dam TM,0.00,Steady,12:00 PM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Jack Taylor Weir TM,0.03,Steady,12:00 PM FRI 26/04/24
Culgoa R at Whyenbah TM,2.58,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Culgoa R at Woolerbilla TM,2.73,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Narran R at Dirranbandi-Hebel Rd TM,2.15,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Bokhara R at Hebel TM,0.87,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Scrubby Creek (25.5415°S, 145.6642°E, 343m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY12° 23° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:11am EST 6:35am EST 5:50pm EST 6:14pm EST NOW21.3° Feels Like: 16.7° Relative Humidity: 27% Dew: 1.6° Wind: S 15km/h Gust: 30km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1020.1hPa -
Today Weather
Scrubby CreekNow25.3°cFeels Like:20.1°Wind:S 20km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:26%12°Min23°MaxToday in Scrubby CreekSunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow12°Min26°MaxMostly sunny. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Scrubby Creek (25.5415°S, 145.6642°E, 343m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 12° 12° 15° 16° 16° 15° 13° Maximum 23° 26° 26° 27° 26° 24° 22° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% 10% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate No Rating Moderate No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)17
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)19
(km/h)10
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction SSE S E E ENE ESE ENE SE ENE S SSE S SE SSE Relative humidity 38% 24% 52% 29% 60% 33% 62% 31% 60% 31% 55% 34% 51% 28% Dew point 2°C 2°C 9°C 7°C 13°C 9°C 13°C 8°C 13°C 8°C 10°C 7°C 7°C 3°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Scrubby Creek Rain Forecast
Scrubby Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025977777488688105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Scrubby Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Apr 22- 27.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 2310.0 °C 29.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 2410.5 °C - 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 25- 28.8 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 266.5 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Scrubby Creek minimum temp history (25.5415°S, 145.6642°E, 343m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.0° 02/04/2024 Coldest this month 6.5° 11/04/2024 Hottest on record 37.1 03/04/2006 Coldest on record 0.0 29/04/1999 Hottest this year 41.5° 23/01/2024 Coldest this year 6.5° 11/04/2024 Long term average 29.3° Long term average 13.2° Average this month 28.1° Average this month 13.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.1° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.9° 2008 Scrubby Creek rainfall history (25.5415°S, 145.6642°E, 343m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 48.2mm 05/04/2024 Total This Month 57.8mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 36.0mm 3.3 days Wettest April on record 270.5mm 1990 Driest on record 0.0mm 2017 -
Year to Date
Scrubby Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 252.2mm 23.4 day(s) Total For 2024 287.6mm 34.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 292.3mm 30.0 day(s) Wettest Day 48.2mm Apr 5 Lowest Temperature 6.5°C Apr11 Highest Temperature 41.5°C Jan23 -
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Climatology
Climate History
Scrubby Creek Climatology
Scrubby Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 34.9 34.0 32.6 29.3 24.9 21.7 21.4 23.7 27.5 31.1 33.2 34.7 29.1 Mean Min (°C) 20.8 20.2 17.8 13.2 8.5 5.1 4.0 5.4 9.4 14.1 17.3 19.5 12.9 Mean Rain (mm) 79.5 75.2 61.5 36.0 31.7 27.6 25.1 17.7 21.0 33.8 48.2 69.1 526.5 Mean Rain Days 7.6 6.8 5.7 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.1 2.5 3.1 4.7 5.7 6.7 55.8