Forecast
Redland Bay (27.6125°S, 153.3031°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW20° 30° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:28am EST 5:51am EST 5:58pm EST 6:21pm EST NOW24.9° Feels Like: 27.8° Relative Humidity: 74% Dew: 19.9° Wind: E 4km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Redland BayNow24.9°cFeels Like:25.7°Wind:NE 15km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:74%20°Min30°MaxToday in Redland BayPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.Tomorrow20°Min30°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds becoming S/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Redland Bay
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
Forecast for Redland Bay (27.6125°S, 153.3031°E, 1m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 20° 20° 19° 18° 19° 19° 20° Maximum 30° 28° 27° 28° 27° 28° 29° Chance of rain 50% 70% 60% 50% 80% 70% 90% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Very High Very High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)13
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)17
(km/h)18
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction SE E S S S SSE SSE SE S SSE SSE ESE SSW ESE Relative humidity 71% 61% 75% 72% 72% 69% 75% 70% 76% 73% 76% 72% 73% 73% Dew point 21°C 21°C 23°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 23°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Redland Bay Rain Forecast
Redland Bay 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Redland Bay Rain Forecast
Redland Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb202420256888876541087105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Redland Bay Rain Forecast
Redland Bay 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Redland Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1518.0 °C 29.2 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Mar 1620.8 °C 27.4 °C 2.2 mmSunday
Mar 1718.8 °C 27.3 °C 0.6 mmMonday
Mar 1820.2 °C 27.9 °C 13.2 mmTuesday
Mar 1920.2 °C 27.3 °C 1.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Redland Bay minimum temp history (27.6125°S, 153.3031°E, 1m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.0° 04/03/2024 Coldest this month 17.5° 17/03/2024 Hottest on record 37.5 05/03/2015 Coldest on record 12.4 31/03/2008 Hottest this year 37.4° 23/01/2024 Coldest this year 17.5° 17/03/2024 Long term average 28.6° Long term average 19.3° Average this month 29.6° Average this month 19.9° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.3° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 17.3° 2008 Redland Bay rainfall history (27.6125°S, 153.3031°E, 1m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 13.0mm 05/03/2024 Total This Month 33.9mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 138.5mm 14.9 days Wettest March on record 405.6mm 2017 Driest on record 19.9mm 1997 -
Year to Date
Redland Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 432.6mm 42.6 day(s) Total For 2024 524.6mm 30.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 140.4mm 25.0 day(s) Wettest Day 93.0mm Feb16 Lowest Temperature 17.5°C Mar17 Highest Temperature 37.4°C Jan23 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Redland Bay Climatology
Redland Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.9 29.5 28.6 26.5 24.0 21.7 21.6 22.9 25.2 26.6 28.0 29.1 26.1 Mean Min (°C) 20.6 20.6 19.3 16.2 12.8 10.2 9.0 9.6 12.6 15.1 17.5 19.3 15.2 Mean Rain (mm) 125.8 168.3 138.5 78.3 103.2 68.6 36.8 40.6 39.8 76.7 100.7 137.0 1115.6 Mean Rain Days 13.6 14.1 14.9 11.7 10.9 9.5 8.7 7.3 8.3 9.6 11.3 12.4 131.8