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Forecast

Purga (27.6603°S, 152.7159°E, 22m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 20° 38°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:20am EST 4:46am EST 6:37pm EST 7:04pm EST
    NOW
    25.0° Feels Like: 27.1°
    Relative Humidity: 79%
    Dew: 21.1°
    Wind: ENE 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Purga
    Now
    24.0°c
    Feels Like:
    27.8°
    Wind:
    NE 4km/h
    Gusts:
    4km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Mostly sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Today in Purga
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    20°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the west, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Purga

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Purga (27.6603°S, 152.7159°E, 22m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 20° 20° 20° 19° 20° 20° 20°
    Maximum 38° 37° 37° 35° 35° 38° 36°
    Chance of rain 10% 60% 40% 50% 50% 40% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N ENE N ENE NNE ENE E E NE ENE NNW ENE NW E
    Relative humidity 56% 35% 54% 40% 52% 41% 56% 49% 65% 49% 58% 36% 51% 31%
    Dew point 20°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 20°C 18°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Purga Rain Forecast


    Purga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Purga Rain Forecast


    Purga 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    6
    5
    7
    7
    7
    3
    6
    6
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Purga Rain Forecast


    Purga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Purga Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    12.6 °C 39.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06
    13.0 °C 41.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 07
    15.7 °C 42.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08
    20.0 °C 33.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09
    19.6 °C 34 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Purga minimum temp history (27.6603°S, 152.7159°E, 22m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.3° 07/12/2019 Coldest this month 11.5° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 43.8 25/12/1972 Coldest on record 6.8 05/12/1955
    Hottest this year 42.3° 07/12/2019 Coldest this year -3.2° 15/07/2019
    Long term average 30.8° Long term average 18.4°
    Average this month 37.2° Average this month 16.2°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.3° 1957 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 15.4° 1999
    Purga rainfall history (27.6603°S, 152.7159°E, 22m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.2mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 15.6mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 121.4mm 10.4 days Wettest December on record 394.4mm 1957
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Purga Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 860.5mm 101.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 290.6mm 77.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 623.4mm 98.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.0mm Oct12
    Lowest Temperature -3.2°C Jul15
    Highest Temperature 42.3°C Dec 7
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Purga Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.4 29.4 27.2 24.1 21.6 21.2 22.8 25.6 27.8 29.6 30.8 26.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.6 19.5 17.8 14.0 10.0 7.1 5.4 6.2 9.5 13.3 16.3 18.4 13.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 117.6 120.5 86.7 55.6 53.2 47.4 38.3 29.3 34.4 73.2 82.9 121.4 860.6
    Mean Rain Days 10.7 11.5 11.2 7.7 7.6 6.5 6.4 5.7 6.0 8.4 9.0 10.4 99.6