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Forecast

Pine Creek (25.0025°S, 152.1902°E, 45m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 23° 34°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:28am EST 4:53am EST 6:31pm EST 6:56pm EST
    NOW
    26.1° Feels Like: 26.1°
    Relative Humidity: 78%
    Dew: 22.0°
    Wind: NNW 24km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.0hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Pine Creek
    Now
    25.3°c
    Feels Like:
    26.5°
    Wind:
    NNW 19km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    84%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    23°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Pine Creek
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h turning N 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    22°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze in the south in the morning. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm inland in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 40.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h turning N 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.

    Forecast for Pine Creek (25.0025°S, 152.1902°E, 45m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine Late shower
    Minimum 23° 22° 21° 21° 21° 21° 21°
    Maximum 34° 34° 33° 33° 33° 32° 33°
    Chance of rain 30% 20% 5% 20% 20% 10% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)     		35
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		27
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		28
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		30
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNE N NE ESE E E ENE ENE ENE NE NE NNE NNE
    Relative humidity 52% 58% 49% 46% 55% 47% 52% 48% 52% 49% 52% 47% 48% 50%
    Dew point 21°C 22°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 20°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pine Creek Rain Forecast

    Pine Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pine Creek Rain Forecast

    Pine Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    6
    5
    7
    7
    7
    3
    6
    6
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pine Creek Rain Forecast

    Pine Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pine Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 02     		23.9 °C 34.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03     		20.0 °C 35.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04     		18.8 °C 35.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05     		19.5 °C 36.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06     		22.9 °C 34 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Pine Creek minimum temp history (25.0025°S, 152.1902°E, 45m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 18.8° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 37.6 19/12/1995 Coldest on record 11.0 11/12/1964
    Hottest this year 36.2° 21/02/2019 Coldest this year 4.8° 13/08/2019
    Long term average 29.6° Long term average 20.5°
    Average this month 34.7° Average this month 20.3°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.0° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 18.2° 1999
    Pine Creek rainfall history (25.0025°S, 152.1902°E, 45m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 126.6mm 10.5 days Wettest December on record 572.8mm 2005

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Pine Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1019.9mm 105.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 308.2mm 90.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 685.0mm 95.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.4mm Apr27
    Lowest Temperature 4.8°C Aug13
    Highest Temperature 36.2°C Feb21

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Pine Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.2 30.1 29.2 27.5 24.8 22.6 22.1 23.4 25.5 27.0 28.5 29.6 26.7
    Mean Min (°C) 21.4 21.4 20.1 17.5 14.2 11.7 10.3 10.9 13.7 16.5 18.8 20.5 16.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 177.3 153.8 116.8 57.7 68.8 54.6 39.8 33.6 37.2 68.9 84.8 126.6 1017.2
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 12.6 11.8 8.8 8.4 6.9 6.2 5.4 5.8 7.9 8.9 10.5 97.5

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