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Forecast

Peel Island (27.4961°S, 153.3579°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 25° 30°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:47am EST 5:12am EST 6:43pm EST 7:09pm EST
    NOW
    27.4° Feels Like: 29.3°
    Relative Humidity: 80%
    Dew: 23.6°
    Wind: N 19km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Peel Island
    Now
    27.1°c
    Feels Like:
    30.5°
    Wind:
    N 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    84%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    25°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Peel Island
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    24°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.

    Forecast for Peel Island (27.4961°S, 153.3579°E, 1m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 25° 24° 23° 23° 23° 24° 24°
    Maximum 30° 30° 30° 31° 32° 30° 30°
    Chance of rain 60% 50% 50% 40% 20% 50% 60%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE N ENE ESE ESE SE ESE
    Relative humidity 85% 79% 80% 74% 73% 72% 75% 73% 76% 72% 75% 76% 77% 76%
    Dew point 24°C 26°C 22°C 25°C 21°C 24°C 22°C 25°C 22°C 26°C 22°C 25°C 22°C 25°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Peel Island Rain Forecast


    Peel Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Peel Island Rain Forecast


    Peel Island 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    3
    7
    4
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Peel Island Rain Forecast


    Peel Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Peel Island Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    25.6 °C 30.4 °C
    1.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    23.4 °C 31.2 °C
    31.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    22.3 °C 31.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    26.3 °C 28.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    26.0 °C 30 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Peel Island minimum temp history (27.4961°S, 153.3579°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.1° 06/01/2020 Coldest this month 19.8° 18/01/2020
    Hottest on record 35.0 29/01/2004 Coldest on record 14.1 16/01/2012
    Hottest this year 33.1° 06/01/2020 Coldest this year 19.8° 18/01/2020
    Long term average 29.2° Long term average 22.5°
    Average this month 30.1° Average this month 23.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 21.2° 2012
    Peel Island rainfall history (27.4961°S, 153.3579°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 81.4mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 107.4mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 146.8mm 13.3 days Wettest January on record 525.8mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Peel Island Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 146.8mm 13.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 107.4mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 38.2mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 81.4mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 19.8°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 33.1°C Jan 6
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Peel Island Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.2 29.3 28.6 26.2 23.9 21.6 21.0 22.0 23.8 25.3 26.6 28.0 25.4
    Mean Min (°C) 22.5 22.6 21.9 19.5 16.8 14.6 13.6 14.3 16.5 18.4 19.9 21.4 18.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 146.8 146.4 141.0 181.4 161.2 173.8 100.5 68.1 57.6 94.5 122.0 122.7 1513.5
    Mean Rain Days 13.3 13.0 15.7 15.4 12.4 12.7 11.7 8.2 8.7 9.1 12.1 12.7 139.7