Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Moonie River
Issued at 11:40 AM EST on Wednesday 27 January 2021
Flood Watch Number: 7
MINOR FLOOD PEAK EXPECTED AT NINDIGULLY BRIDGE ON WEDNESDAY
No significant rainfall is expected over the next few days.
Moonie River downstream of Flinton:
A second minor flood peak is moving down the lower Moonie River, with the flood peak approaching the Nindigully area on Wednesday morning.
The Moonie River at Nindigully Bridge was at 2.30 metres and rising slowly at 9am Tuesday. No river level observations have been received on Wednesday morning but based on the river level at the nearby automatic station the river level at Nindigully Bridge is expected to be above the minor flood level (2.20 m) and rising slowly.
A minor flood peak is expected in the Moonie River at Nindigully Bridge during Wednesday afternoon or evening. The river level is expected to begin easing slowly on Thursday.
The Moonie River at Thallon Bridge is currently at 2.40 metres and falling.
Renewed river level rises are expected over the next few days. Based on upstream river levels, the Moonie River at Thallon Bridge is expected to remain below the minor flood level (4.00 m).
Moonie River to Flinton:
Cancellation
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 12:00 pm EST on Friday 29 January 2021.
Latest River Heights:
Moonie R at Flinton TM,1.90,Steady,11:00 AM WED 27/01/21
Moonie R at Warrie Crossing,1.30,Falling,07:00 AM WED 27/01/21
Moonie R at Nindigully Br,2.30,Rising,09:00 AM TUE 26/01/21
Moonie R at Nindigully TM,3.88,Steady,11:00 AM WED 27/01/21
Moonie R at Thallon Bridge,2.40,Falling,06:20 PM TUE 26/01/21
Moonie R at Fenton TM,2.70,Steady,11:00 AM WED 27/01/21
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Pechey (27.3075°S, 152.0451°E, 669m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
18° 30° possible shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 4:55am EST 5:20am EST 6:49pm EST 7:15pm EST NOW29.7° Feels Like: 25.4° Relative Humidity: 40% Dew: 14.7° Wind: E 30km/h Gust: 33km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1011.8hPa -
Today Weather
PecheyNow32.7°cFeels Like:30.3°Wind:SE 20km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:34%
18°Min30°MaxToday in PecheyHot and mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers over the Granite Belt, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the S during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.Tomorrow
19°Min26°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers over the Granite Belt, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N in the late morning and afternoon. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 36. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers over the Granite Belt, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the S during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.
Forecast for Pechey (27.3075°S, 152.0451°E, 669m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary 
Minimum 18° 19° 18° 17° 18° 17° 17° Maximum 30° 26° 26° 27° 27° 27° 28° Chance of rain 60% 70% 50% 30% 60% 60% 70% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)19
(km/h)28
(km/h)28
(km/h)31
(km/h)28
(km/h)28
(km/h)26
(km/h)25
(km/h)24
(km/h)28
(km/h)24
(km/h)22
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction ENE E ESE E ESE E E E E E ESE ESE E ESE Relative humidity 67% 41% 82% 61% 82% 57% 81% 56% 81% 58% 77% 50% 75% 49% Dew point 17°C 15°C 19°C 17°C 18°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 15°C 18°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Pechey Rain Forecast
Pechey 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
LOW28
LOW29
30
LOW31
LOWFeb 1
2
LOW3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
LOW24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Pechey Rain Forecast
Pechey 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021977887755656105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Pechey Rain Forecast
Pechey 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
LOW28
LOW29
30
LOW31
LOWFeb 1
2
LOW3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
LOW24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Pechey Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Jan 2315.3 °C 26.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2414.9 °C 26.6 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2517.3 °C 27.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2616.1 °C 28.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2717.9 °C 30.3 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Pechey minimum temp history (27.3075°S, 152.0451°E, 669m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.6° 06/01/2021 Coldest this month 14.5° 09/01/2021 Hottest on record 39.5 04/01/2014 Coldest on record 12.6 13/01/2000 Hottest this year 31.6° 06/01/2021 Coldest this year 14.5° 09/01/2021 Long term average 28.5° Long term average 17.7° Average this month 26.2° Average this month 16.9° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.3° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.8° 1997 Pechey rainfall history (27.3075°S, 152.0451°E, 669m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 41.0mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 92.4mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 90.4mm 10.6 days Wettest January on record 416.0mm 2013 Driest on record 4.8mm 2019 -
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Year to Date
Pechey Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 90.4mm 10.6 day(s) Total For 2021 92.4mm 12.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 85.2mm 11.0 day(s) Wettest Day 41.0mm Jan 7 Lowest Temperature 14.5°C Jan 9 Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan 6 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Pechey Climatology
Pechey Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.5 27.6 26.2 23.4 19.9 17.0 16.8 18.8 22.4 24.6 26.5 27.8 23.2 Mean Min (°C) 17.7 17.7 16.4 13.5 10.0 7.6 6.7 7.5 10.6 12.9 14.8 16.7 12.6 Mean Rain (mm) 90.4 106.1 84.2 25.3 35.5 37.5 26.6 29.8 32.5 64.7 69.6 104.1 705.3 Mean Rain Days 10.6 10.5 10.3 7.9 8.5 10.4 7.4 6.0 6.8 8.8 9.0 10.6 107.0
