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Forecast

Paluma (19.0089°S, 146.2098°E, 851m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible thunderstorm 25° 36°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:31am EST 5:54am EST 6:59pm EST 7:22pm EST
    NOW
    23.4° Feels Like: 25.8°
    Relative Humidity: 80%
    Dew: 19.7°
    Wind: SSE 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 35.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Paluma
    Now
    23.9°c
    Feels Like:
    27.2°
    Wind:
    NNE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    25°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Today in Paluma
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    25°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37.

    Forecast for Paluma (19.0089°S, 146.2098°E, 851m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 25° 25° 25° 24° 24° 25° 25°
    Maximum 36° 35° 35° 36° 38° 37° 35°
    Chance of rain 50% 40% 30% 30% 50% 60% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E E E ENE ENE NE E NNE E E E E E
    Relative humidity 81% 70% 86% 75% 77% 63% 75% 63% 73% 61% 74% 64% 80% 73%
    Dew point 28°C 29°C 27°C 30°C 26°C 27°C 26°C 28°C 27°C 29°C 27°C 29°C 27°C 30°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Paluma Rain Forecast


    Paluma 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Paluma Rain Forecast


    Paluma 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    5
    5
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Paluma Rain Forecast


    Paluma 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Paluma Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    23.0 °C 34.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    21.7 °C 34.7 °C
    14.8 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    19.6 °C 34.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    23.5 °C 34.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    24.3 °C 33 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Paluma minimum temp history (19.0089°S, 146.2098°E, 851m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.7° 17/01/2020 Coldest this month 19.6° 18/01/2020
    Hottest on record 37.2 04/01/2014 Coldest on record 14.0 02/01/2000
    Hottest this year 34.7° 17/01/2020 Coldest this year 19.6° 18/01/2020
    Long term average 28.6° Long term average 20.8°
    Average this month 32.0° Average this month 21.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.0° 2002 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 19.5° 2001
    Paluma rainfall history (19.0089°S, 146.2098°E, 851m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.8mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 20.8mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 269.7mm 16.9 days Wettest January on record 774.2mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Paluma Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 269.7mm 16.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 20.8mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 108.4mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 14.8mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 19.6°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 34.7°C Jan17
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Paluma Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.6 28.3 27.7 26.2 24.1 22.1 21.9 23.3 25.7 27.4 28.3 29.2 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 20.8 20.9 19.8 17.7 14.3 12.0 10.4 12.2 15.4 17.4 19.2 20.4 16.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 269.7 322.8 166.6 72.2 33.0 36.8 25.2 15.0 17.2 22.1 68.1 108.5 1160.6
    Mean Rain Days 16.9 15.4 13.3 8.7 7.3 7.7 5.2 4.6 4.7 5.2 9.4 10.4 102.9