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Forecast

Palm Island (18.7369°S, 146.5778°E, 25m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 20° 24°
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:24am EST 6:47am EST 5:50pm EST 6:14pm EST
    NOW
    20.7° Feels Like: 18.5°
    Relative Humidity: 68%
    Dew: 14.6°
    Wind: SSW 18km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am:  
    Pressure: 1020.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Palm Island
    Now
    22.7°c
    Feels Like:
    23.8°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    56%
    Sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Palm Island
    The chance of fog early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    19°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Palm Island

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: The chance of fog early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Palm Island (18.7369°S, 146.5778°E, 25m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower Possible shower Showers Showers
    Minimum 20° 19° 17° 19° 20° 20° 21°
    Maximum 24° 22° 22° 23° 23° 24° 24°
    Chance of rain 30% 20% 60% 60% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SE SSE SE S SSE SSE SE SSE SE SE SE SSE SE
    Relative humidity 80% 58% 59% 52% 62% 62% 82% 75% 82% 77% 83% 77% 81% 70%
    Dew point 16°C 14°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 14°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Palm Island Rain Forecast


    Palm Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 July to 13 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 30 July to 3 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 July to 17 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 6 August to 10 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 July to 14 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 31 July to 4 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Palm Island Rain Forecast


    Palm Island 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    7
    10
    10
    6
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Palm Island Rain Forecast


    Palm Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 July to 13 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 30 July to 3 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 July to 17 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 6 August to 10 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 July to 14 July, 17 July to 21 July, and 31 July to 4 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Palm Island Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jun 30
    20.6 °C 22.8 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    Jul 01
    20.0 °C 23.7 °C
    -
    Thursday
    Jul 02
    20.8 °C 24.2 °C
    -
    Friday
    Jul 03
    19.7 °C 22.9 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    18.3 °C 20.9 °C
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Palm Island minimum temp history (18.7369°S, 146.5778°E, 25m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.2° 02/07/2020 Coldest this month 19.7° 03/07/2020
    Hottest on record 28.4 31/07/1985 Coldest on record 11.2 06/07/1984
    Hottest this year 36.8° 14/02/2020 Coldest this year 13.9° 24/05/2020
    Long term average 23.1° Long term average 18.0°
    Average this month 23.0° Average this month 20.2°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.8° 1986 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 15.4° 2007
    Palm Island rainfall history (18.7369°S, 146.5778°E, 25m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 23.0mm 6.5 days Wettest July on record 157.6mm 1981
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1995
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Palm Island Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 809.7mm 83.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 253.8mm 26.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 1542.8mm 98.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 56.6mm Feb13
    Lowest Temperature 13.9°C May24
    Highest Temperature 36.8°C Feb14
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Palm Island Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.2 30.2 29.7 27.9 26.0 24.0 23.1 24.0 25.8 27.1 28.4 29.7 27.2
    Mean Min (°C) 25.4 25.2 24.8 23.3 21.4 19.1 18.0 18.9 20.8 22.8 24.2 25.3 22.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 193.7 216.5 174.3 98.2 65.6 38.4 23.0 27.1 26.9 24.6 84.6 93.9 1056.2
    Mean Rain Days 15.0 14.2 14.7 13.9 12.2 7.4 6.5 6.6 5.4 5.8 8.0 10.3 107.0