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Forecast

Paget (21.1753°S, 149.1604°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 25° 33°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:14am EST 5:38am EST 6:51pm EST 7:15pm EST
    NOW
    23.7° Feels Like: 26.7°
    Relative Humidity: 91%
    Dew: 22.1°
    Wind: WSW 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 2.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Paget
    Now
    23.9°c
    Feels Like:
    24.9°
    Wind:
    WSW 19km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Mostly sunny
     
    25°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Paget
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    25°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Hot. Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the afternoon. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Paget (21.1753°S, 149.1604°E, 7m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Thunderstorms Possible thunderstorm Thunderstorms clearing Thunderstorms Showers
    Minimum 25° 24° 25° 24° 24° 24° 24°
    Maximum 33° 33° 33° 32° 33° 32° 32°
    Chance of rain 20% 80% 70% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE NE ENE NE ENE NE ENE ENE E E E ESE E
    Relative humidity 71% 61% 68% 63% 77% 69% 75% 69% 76% 70% 75% 75% 77% 74%
    Dew point 25°C 24°C 24°C 25°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 25°C 26°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Paget Rain Forecast


    Paget 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Paget Rain Forecast


    Paget 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    5
    5
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    8
    7
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Paget Rain Forecast


    Paget 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Paget Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    22.9 °C 31.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    23.0 °C 31.1 °C
    2.8 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    19.8 °C 31.8 °C
    0.8 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    22.3 °C 34.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    25.2 °C 33 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Paget minimum temp history (21.1753°S, 149.1604°E, 7m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.0° 19/01/2020 Coldest this month 20.1° 18/01/2020
    Hottest on record 36.9 28/01/2013 Coldest on record 16.5 02/01/2005
    Hottest this year 35.0° 19/01/2020 Coldest this year 20.1° 18/01/2020
    Long term average 30.3° Long term average 23.1°
    Average this month 31.2° Average this month 23.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.2° 2015 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 21.5° 1955
    Paget rainfall history (21.1753°S, 149.1604°E, 7m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.2mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 17.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 321.0mm 16.4 days Wettest January on record 1193.9mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Paget Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 321.0mm 16.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 17.4mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 104.6mm 8.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 6.2mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 20.1°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 35.0°C Jan19
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Paget Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 30.1 29.3 27.7 25.3 23.1 22.6 23.7 25.9 28.3 29.6 30.8 27.2
    Mean Min (°C) 23.1 23.2 22.0 19.4 15.7 12.9 11.3 11.8 14.7 18.1 20.5 22.2 17.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 321.0 355.1 270.6 168.1 92.4 65.2 35.4 34.1 26.1 35.2 83.7 132.8 1614.0
    Mean Rain Days 16.4 17.5 16.6 14.5 12.1 10.3 8.2 6.7 5.4 5.9 8.4 10.9 125.2