Forecast
Oxenford (27.8903°S, 153.3131°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY18° 34° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:17am EST 4:44am EST 6:37pm EST 7:04pm EST NOW23.4° Feels Like: 25.7° Relative Humidity: 93% Dew: 22.2° Wind: NNW 13km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 1.8mm Pressure: 1009.7hPa -
Today Weather
OxenfordNow19.4°cFeels Like:22.0°Wind:CAL 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:89%18°Min34°MaxToday in OxenfordHot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before shifting S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.Tomorrow17°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending E/SE in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Oxenford
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before shifting S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.
Forecast for Oxenford (27.8903°S, 153.3131°E, 13m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 18° 17° 16° 17° 17° 17° 15° Maximum 34° 28° 29° 32° 37° 32° 30° Chance of rain 80% 70% 60% 40% 10% 5% 5% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)21
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)8
(km/h)15
(km/h)8
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)21
(km/h)20
(km/h)24
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction NNE NE SSE SSE ESE E NNE NE NW E SSE SSE SE ESE Relative humidity 65% 64% 77% 75% 71% 69% 68% 64% 58% 58% 61% 56% 56% 54% Dew point 23°C 23°C 22°C 21°C 18°C 22°C 21°C 23°C 21°C 25°C 20°C 20°C 16°C 20°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Oxenford Rain Forecast
Oxenford 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
MEDIUM13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
LOW20
21
22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
MEDIUM25
LOW26
27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Oxenford Rain Forecast
Oxenford 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020346577736654105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Oxenford Rain Forecast
Oxenford 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
MEDIUM13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
LOW20
21
22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
MEDIUM25
LOW26
27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Oxenford Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Dec 0720.1 °C 28.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0821.7 °C 27.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Dec 0922.4 °C 28.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1021.1 °C 30.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1123.8 °C 29 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Oxenford minimum temp history (27.8903°S, 153.3131°E, 13m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.8° 06/12/2019 Coldest this month 17.4° 04/12/2019 Hottest on record 39.4 26/12/2001 Coldest on record 14.7 19/12/2005 Hottest this year 35.6° 12/03/2019 Coldest this year 5.8° 14/07/2019 Long term average 27.9° Long term average 20.5° Average this month 30.2° Average this month 19.9° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.4° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 18.8° 1999 Oxenford rainfall history (27.8903°S, 153.3131°E, 13m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 11.0mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 15.0mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 142.3mm 12.7 days Wettest December on record 490.4mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Oxenford Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1345.7mm 136.6 day(s) Total For 2019 746.8mm 97.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 879.0mm 127.0 day(s) Wettest Day 159.0mm Mar18 Lowest Temperature 5.8°C Jul14 Highest Temperature 35.6°C Mar12 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Oxenford Climatology
Oxenford Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.8 28.8 27.9 26.0 23.6 21.4 21.2 22.0 24.0 25.4 26.9 27.9 25.3 Mean Min (°C) 21.8 21.8 20.8 18.2 15.3 13.2 12.0 12.5 14.8 16.8 19.0 20.5 17.2 Mean Rain (mm) 146.1 180.5 129.1 138.4 112.7 123.3 53.3 65.4 45.1 88.2 121.3 142.3 1341.2 Mean Rain Days 14.1 14.3 15.2 12.0 11.6 10.9 8.3 7.2 8.8 9.5 12.0 12.7 130.4