Forecast
Oakhurst (25.5137°S, 152.6335°E, 23m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY20° 34° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:25am EST 4:51am EST 6:33pm EST 6:59pm EST NOW33.1° Feels Like: 33.0° Relative Humidity: 41% Dew: 18.1° Wind: NNE 15km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1011.2hPa -
Today Weather
OakhurstNow29.9°cFeels Like:27.9°Wind:N 26km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:51%20°Min34°MaxToday in OakhurstHot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 39.Tomorrow20°Min34°MaxHot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 38. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Oakhurst
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 39.
Forecast for Oakhurst (25.5137°S, 152.6335°E, 23m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 20° 20° 20° 20° 20° 21° 21° Maximum 34° 34° 34° 33° 35° 35° 29° Chance of rain 20% 20% 50% 50% 30% 30% 10% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)17
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction N NE NNE NE NNE NE NE ENE NE NE NNW NNE SE SE Relative humidity 54% 44% 50% 44% 50% 52% 60% 53% 56% 48% 52% 43% 51% 44% Dew point 19°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 22°C 20°C 20°C 17°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Oakhurst Rain Forecast
Oakhurst 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT11
LOW12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
LOW26
27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Oakhurst Rain Forecast
Oakhurst 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020346577736654105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Oakhurst Rain Forecast
Oakhurst 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT11
LOW12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
LOW26
27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Oakhurst Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Dec 0723.0 °C 34.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0820.6 °C 36.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Dec 0919.3 °C 33.9 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1018.9 °C 35 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1120 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Oakhurst minimum temp history (25.5137°S, 152.6335°E, 23m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 16.0° 04/12/2019 Hottest on record 40.6 11/12/1979 Coldest on record 11.6 06/12/2012 Hottest this year 39.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this year -0.1° 15/07/2019 Long term average 30.3° Long term average 19.6° Average this month 35.9° Average this month 19.5° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.3° 1979 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 17.7° 1963 Oakhurst rainfall history (25.5137°S, 152.6335°E, 23m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 0.8mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 128.7mm 10.7 days Wettest December on record 551.4mm 1979 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Oakhurst Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1129.4mm 120.6 day(s) Total For 2019 515.4mm 107.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 1031.4mm 127.0 day(s) Wettest Day 45.4mm Mar18 Lowest Temperature -0.1°C Jul15 Highest Temperature 39.0°C Dec 5 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Oakhurst Climatology
Oakhurst Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.7 30.2 29.2 27.3 24.6 22.4 22.0 23.4 25.8 27.6 29.0 30.3 26.9 Mean Min (°C) 20.8 20.8 19.5 16.8 13.4 10.3 8.6 9.4 12.1 15.3 17.9 19.6 15.4 Mean Rain (mm) 164.6 171.6 151.3 85.7 77.5 66.6 50.2 39.1 41.5 69.4 83.2 128.7 1128.2 Mean Rain Days 13.1 13.8 14.5 11.8 10.7 8.6 7.3 6.5 6.7 7.9 9.0 10.7 116.4