Forecast
Oakey Creek (23.7505°S, 150.361°E, 163m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY25° 38° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:39am EST 5:04am EST 6:34pm EST 6:59pm EST NOW38.8° Feels Like: 36.3° Relative Humidity: 16% Dew: 8.5° Wind: NE 11km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1008.1hPa -
Today Weather
Oakey CreekNow38.8°cFeels Like:36.3°Wind:NE 11km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:16%25°Min38°MaxToday in Oakey CreekHot and mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the southwest early this morning. Medium chance of showers in the south, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.Tomorrow24°Min39°MaxHot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 39. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Oakey Creek
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the southwest early this morning. Medium chance of showers in the south, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.
Forecast for Oakey Creek (23.7505°S, 150.361°E, 163m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 25° 24° 23° 22° 22° 21° 22° Maximum 38° 39° 38° 35° 35° 37° 37° Chance of rain 50% 70% 5% 10% 5% 5% 40% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)9
(km/h)19
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)19
(km/h)20
(km/h)11
(km/h)20
(km/h)14
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction N NNE N NNE NNE ENE E E E ENE ENE E ENE E Relative humidity 52% 32% 47% 26% 46% 28% 47% 35% 46% 33% 50% 32% 48% 31% Dew point 22°C 18°C 20°C 16°C 19°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 16°C 19°C 17°C 19°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Oakey Creek Rain Forecast
Oakey Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
LOW7
LOW8
9
10
11
12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
16
17
18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
LOW23
LOW24
25
LOW26
LOW27
LOW28
29
30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Oakey Creek Rain Forecast
Oakey Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020336566787955105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Oakey Creek Rain Forecast
Oakey Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
LOW7
LOW8
9
10
11
12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
16
17
18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
LOW23
LOW24
25
LOW26
LOW27
LOW28
29
30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Oakey Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0225.5 °C 40.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 0320.6 °C 38.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 0422.0 °C 37.1 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 0523.8 °C 39.4 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0625.0 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Oakey Creek minimum temp history (23.7505°S, 150.361°E, 163m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 40.4° 02/12/2019 Coldest this month 20.3° 01/12/2019 Hottest on record 41.5 30/12/2013 Coldest on record 10.6 11/12/1964 Hottest this year 40.7° 08/10/2019 Coldest this year 4.4° 12/08/2019 Long term average 32.2° Long term average 21.2° Average this month 38.3° Average this month 22.4° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.4° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 19.4° 1967 Oakey Creek rainfall history (23.7505°S, 150.361°E, 163m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 105.0mm 9.6 days Wettest December on record 533.4mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Oakey Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 816.1mm 91.3 day(s) Total For 2019 264.2mm 68.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 378.4mm 72.0 day(s) Wettest Day 44.8mm Jan 9 Lowest Temperature 4.4°C Aug12 Highest Temperature 40.7°C Oct 8 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Oakey Creek Climatology
Oakey Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.0 31.3 30.5 28.8 26.0 23.5 23.2 24.8 27.4 29.7 31.3 32.2 28.4 Mean Min (°C) 22.2 22.2 20.9 18.0 14.3 11.0 9.6 10.7 13.7 17.0 19.6 21.2 16.7 Mean Rain (mm) 131.1 145.8 106.4 43.3 46.3 38.6 31.9 27.8 25.0 47.7 67.2 105.0 815.9 Mean Rain Days 11.3 12.2 10.2 6.8 6.5 5.5 5.8 4.8 4.4 6.4 7.8 9.6 90.2