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Forecast

Mingela (19.8782°S, 146.6328°E, 290m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 19° 38°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:05am EST 5:28am EST 6:31pm EST 6:54pm EST
    NOW
    32.8° Feels Like: 28.9°
    Relative Humidity: 21%
    Dew: 7.6°
    Wind: ENE 17km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mingela
    Now
    27.1°c
    Feels Like:
    26.6°
    Wind:
    NE 19km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    61%
    Sunny
     
    19°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Today in Mingela
    Hot and mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the south in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 38.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    21°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mingela

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the south in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 38.

    Forecast for Mingela (19.8782°S, 146.6328°E, 290m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 19° 21° 20° 20° 20° 20° 20°
    Maximum 38° 36° 37° 37° 38° 37° 37°
    Chance of rain 20% 10% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE NE ENE NE ENE NE ENE NE ENE ENE ENE ENE E
    Relative humidity 45% 26% 54% 26% 54% 25% 53% 23% 53% 22% 54% 24% 51% 21%
    Dew point 16°C 16°C 19°C 14°C 19°C 14°C 19°C 13°C 18°C 13°C 19°C 14°C 18°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mingela Rain Forecast


    Mingela 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 November to 25 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 5 December to 9 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November, 25 November to 29 November, and 30 November to 4 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 November to 25 November, 29 November to 3 December, and 5 December to 9 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mingela Rain Forecast


    Mingela 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    4
    4
    5
    5
    5
    7
    7
    9
    8
    8
    9
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mingela Rain Forecast


    Mingela 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 November to 25 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 5 December to 9 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November, 25 November to 29 November, and 30 November to 4 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 November to 25 November, 29 November to 3 December, and 5 December to 9 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mingela Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Nov 10
    19.6 °C 34.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11
    18.0 °C 34.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    18.4 °C 33.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13
    18.1 °C 37.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 14
    17.5 °C 36 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mingela minimum temp history (19.8782°S, 146.6328°E, 290m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.0° 08/11/2019 Coldest this month 16.5° 08/11/2019
    Hottest on record 41.0 30/11/2006 Coldest on record 14.5 03/11/2009
    Hottest this year 39.3° 16/10/2019 Coldest this year 4.9° 16/07/2019
    Long term average 34.0° Long term average 20.5°
    Average this month 35.8° Average this month 18.7°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.7° 2015 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 18.6° 2009
    Mingela rainfall history (19.8782°S, 146.6328°E, 290m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 01/11/2019 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.5mm 5.8 days Wettest November on record 245.4mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Mingela Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 563.0mm 57.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 579.6mm 53.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 520.6mm 53.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 81.2mm Feb 2
    Lowest Temperature 4.9°C Jul16
    Highest Temperature 39.3°C Oct16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Mingela Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.7 33.0 32.0 30.2 27.4 25.0 24.9 26.7 30.2 32.7 34.0 34.6 30.4
    Mean Min (°C) 22.5 22.4 21.0 18.3 15.3 12.8 11.6 12.4 15.3 18.0 20.5 22.0 17.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 154.3 137.8 70.3 27.0 24.2 21.8 20.6 16.4 10.2 15.9 64.5 81.8 652.0
    Mean Rain Days 10.8 10.3 7.6 4.7 4.0 4.4 3.0 1.8 2.2 2.7 5.8 7.3 61.3