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Forecast

Mackay (21.1434°S, 149.1868°E, 20m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 18° 24°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:16am EST 6:40am EST 5:31pm EST 5:55pm EST
    NOW
    21.9° Feels Like: 22.2°
    Relative Humidity: 79%
    Dew: 18.1°
    Wind: SE 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1020.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mackay
    Now
    21.5°c
    Feels Like:
    22.1°
    Wind:
    S 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    80%
    Mostly sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Mackay
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    15°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mackay

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.

    Forecast for Mackay (21.1434°S, 149.1868°E, 20m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 18° 15° 15° 14° 12° 15° 15°
    Maximum 24° 25° 25° 21° 21° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 20% 40% 60% 10% 60% 60% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E SSW SE SSW SE S S S SSE SSE SSE SSE SE
    Relative humidity 83% 76% 90% 81% 91% 85% 82% 72% 74% 69% 84% 76% 82% 75%
    Dew point 18°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 21°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 15°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mackay Rain Forecast


    Mackay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mackay Rain Forecast


    Mackay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    6
    10
    10
    6
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mackay Rain Forecast


    Mackay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mackay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 20
    9.9 °C 20.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 21
    7.2 °C 22.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 22
    9.3 °C 23.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 23
    14.0 °C 23.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 24
    17.7 °C 21.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mackay minimum temp history (21.1434°S, 149.1868°E, 20m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.6° 14/06/2021 Coldest this month 5.1° 10/06/2021
    Hottest on record 32.0 17/06/2002 Coldest on record 1.7 02/06/2000
    Hottest this year 35.0° 08/02/2021 Coldest this year 5.1° 10/06/2021
    Long term average 23.2° Long term average 12.9°
    Average this month 23.8° Average this month 13.2°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.8° 2016 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 10.0° 1953
    Mackay rainfall history (21.1434°S, 149.1868°E, 20m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 20.4mm 17/06/2021 Total This Month 44.4mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 59.0mm 9.8 days Wettest June on record 287.6mm 2007
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mackay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 1201.4mm 87.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 892.4mm 96.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 1121.0mm 100.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 73.0mm Jan11
    Lowest Temperature 5.1°C Jun10
    Highest Temperature 35.0°C Feb 8
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mackay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.4 30.2 29.3 27.7 25.3 23.2 22.7 23.8 26.0 28.4 29.7 30.8 27.3
    Mean Min (°C) 23.2 23.3 22.1 19.5 15.8 12.9 11.4 11.8 14.8 18.3 20.5 22.2 17.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 299.3 337.6 259.5 161.2 84.8 59.0 32.8 31.2 23.6 34.4 80.0 138.5 1528.4
    Mean Rain Days 16.5 17.8 16.9 14.6 11.9 9.8 7.9 6.6 5.2 6.1 8.2 11.2 130.7