Forecast
Lockyer Siding (28.0735°S, 151.6153°E, 443m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW19° 38° late shower Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:25am EST 4:51am EST 6:44pm EST 7:10pm EST NOW22.9° Feels Like: 22.9° Relative Humidity: 75% Dew: 18.2° Wind: NE 15km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1020.1hPa -
Today Weather
Lockyer SidingNow21.1°cFeels Like:19.5°Wind:E 24km/hGusts:28km/hHumidity:86%19°Min38°MaxToday in Lockyer SidingHot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or storm in the south in the afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.Tomorrow19°Min38°MaxHot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the east in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching 36 to 41. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Lockyer Siding
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or storm in the south in the afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.
Forecast for Lockyer Siding (28.0735°S, 151.6153°E, 443m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 19° 22° 20° 20° 18° 18° 19° Maximum 38° 38° 37° 35° 36° 37° 38° Chance of rain 40% 70% 50% 40% 30% 30% 5% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
(km/h)8
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)21
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction NNE W N NNE N WNW NE WSW NNE WSW N WSW NNW SW Relative humidity 51% 20% 42% 22% 49% 19% 47% 23% 51% 17% 45% 17% 40% 15% Dew point 18°C 12°C 17°C 13°C 18°C 11°C 17°C 12°C 17°C 7°C 16°C 9°C 15°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Lockyer Siding Rain Forecast
Lockyer Siding 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
LOW10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
MEDIUM14
LOW15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
LOW21
22
23
24
25
LOW26
27
28
LOW29
MEDIUM30
31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Lockyer Siding Rain Forecast
Lockyer Siding 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020345676645566105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Lockyer Siding Rain Forecast
Lockyer Siding 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
LOW10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
MEDIUM14
LOW15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
LOW21
22
23
24
25
LOW26
27
28
LOW29
MEDIUM30
31
LOWJan 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Lockyer Siding Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Dec 059.6 °C 34.3 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0610.3 °C 37.7 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 0713.0 °C 38.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0816.3 °C 34.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Dec 0919.2 °C 35 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Lockyer Siding minimum temp history (28.0735°S, 151.6153°E, 443m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.6° 07/12/2019 Coldest this month 9.2° 04/12/2019 Hottest on record 40.4 29/12/2013 Coldest on record 6.5 21/12/2010 Hottest this year 39.4° 13/02/2019 Coldest this year -5.0° 17/07/2019 Long term average 29.1° Long term average 15.7° Average this month 33.4° Average this month 13.5° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.3° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 13.4° 1999 Lockyer Siding rainfall history (28.0735°S, 151.6153°E, 443m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 9.0mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 9.2mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 108.5mm 9.0 days Wettest December on record 282.4mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Lockyer Siding Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 754.9mm 95.3 day(s) Total For 2019 180.0mm 53.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 445.2mm 85.0 day(s) Wettest Day 40.0mm Mar16 Lowest Temperature -5.0°C Jul17 Highest Temperature 39.4°C Feb13 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Lockyer Siding Climatology
Lockyer Siding Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.4 27.8 24.8 21.2 18.3 17.9 19.9 23.2 25.8 27.9 29.1 24.6 Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.9 15.2 11.4 7.0 5.0 3.2 3.4 7.1 10.5 13.7 15.7 10.5 Mean Rain (mm) 99.0 74.0 83.1 34.3 43.9 41.1 29.8 29.9 38.1 72.2 101.0 108.5 750.5 Mean Rain Days 9.0 8.4 8.8 6.9 7.6 9.4 7.5 5.7 6.8 7.2 9.0 9.0 90.2