Forecast
Lamb Island (27.6263°S, 153.3796°E, 17m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY21° 34° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:19am EST 4:46am EST 6:39pm EST 7:05pm EST NOW25.3° Feels Like: 27.7° Relative Humidity: 84% Dew: 22.4° Wind: N 13km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Lamb IslandNow23.3°cFeels Like:26.2°Wind:NNE 13km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:100%21°Min34°MaxToday in Lamb IslandHot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.Tomorrow21°Min39°MaxVery hot and sunny. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 43. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Lamb Island
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.
Forecast for Lamb Island (27.6263°S, 153.3796°E, 17m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 21° 21° 19° 17° 17° 17° 20° Maximum 34° 39° 31° 30° 32° 36° 35° Chance of rain 20% 20% 10% 10% 5% 10% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)19
(km/h)10
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)27
(km/h)19
(km/h)20
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)6
(km/h)16
(km/h)7
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction N NE NW ENE SSE SE SE ESE E ENE N E NE ENE Relative humidity 65% 61% 58% 46% 55% 54% 55% 51% 52% 48% 52% 51% 58% 54% Dew point 22°C 24°C 23°C 23°C 17°C 19°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 20°C 22°C 22°C 24°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Lamb Island Rain Forecast
Lamb Island 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
LOW27
LOW28
MEDIUM29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
9
10
11
12
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec14Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Lamb Island Rain Forecast
Lamb Island 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020346577736654105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Lamb Island Rain Forecast
Lamb Island 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
LOW27
LOW28
MEDIUM29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
9
10
11
12
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec14Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Lamb Island Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Dec 1022.8 °C 30.9 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1123.3 °C 31.7 °C 4.8 mmThursday
Dec 1219.9 °C 29.4 °C 3.6 mmFriday
Dec 1323.4 °C 28.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 1418.7 °C 29 °C 1.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Lamb Island minimum temp history (27.6263°S, 153.3796°E, 17m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.4° 06/12/2019 Coldest this month 16.4° 04/12/2019 Hottest on record 40.1 04/12/2012 Coldest on record 11.8 01/12/1992 Hottest this year 39.4° 06/12/2019 Coldest this year 3.7° 21/08/2019 Long term average 29.0° Long term average 19.2° Average this month 33.8° Average this month 20.0° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.0° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 16.7° 1999 Lamb Island rainfall history (27.6263°S, 153.3796°E, 17m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 10.0mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 15.6mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 140.1mm 12.4 days Wettest December on record 585.5mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Lamb Island Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1107.9mm 126.5 day(s) Total For 2019 607.0mm 119.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 997.7mm 133.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.4mm Mar16 Lowest Temperature 3.7°C Aug21 Highest Temperature 39.4°C Dec 6 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Lamb Island Climatology
Lamb Island Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.8 29.4 28.5 26.4 24.0 21.6 21.4 22.6 25.1 26.5 27.9 29.0 26.1 Mean Min (°C) 20.6 20.5 19.1 16.0 12.6 10.1 8.8 9.5 12.4 14.9 17.5 19.2 15.2 Mean Rain (mm) 133.5 150.8 129.1 81.1 104.3 75.5 34.1 47.4 42.4 62.9 106.7 140.1 1114.2 Mean Rain Days 13.4 13.4 14.3 11.4 10.0 9.2 7.8 6.9 7.9 8.4 11.4 12.4 120.4