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Forecast

Lake Mary (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 27° 30°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:05am EST 5:30am EST 6:48pm EST 7:12pm EST
    NOW
    27.6° Feels Like: 31.5°
    Relative Humidity: 86%
    Dew: 25.0°
    Wind: N 13km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lake Mary
    Now
    27.4°c
    Feels Like:
    31.0°
    Wind:
    NNE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    81%
    Possible shower
     
    27°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Lake Mary
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    27°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lake Mary

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Lake Mary (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 27° 27° 27° 26° 26° 26° 26°
    Maximum 30° 31° 30° 29° 29° 29° 30°
    Chance of rain 50% 70% 60% 70% 80% 80% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NE NE ENE ENE ENE E E E E ESE E ESE E
    Relative humidity 77% 77% 76% 75% 73% 71% 75% 71% 71% 71% 72% 68% 72% 70%
    Dew point 25°C 25°C 25°C 26°C 24°C 24°C 23°C 23°C 22°C 23°C 23°C 22°C 23°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lake Mary Rain Forecast


    Lake Mary 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lake Mary Rain Forecast


    Lake Mary 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    2
    6
    5
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    8
    5
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lake Mary Rain Forecast


    Lake Mary 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lake Mary Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    21.2 °C 33.5 °C
    0.6 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    23.2 °C 31.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    25.8 °C 31.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    26.2 °C 31.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    26.7 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lake Mary minimum temp history (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.5° 18/01/2020 Coldest this month 21.2° 18/01/2020
    Hottest on record 38.6 12/01/2002 Coldest on record 12.5 14/01/1998
    Hottest this year 33.5° 18/01/2020 Coldest this year 21.2° 18/01/2020
    Long term average 29.3° Long term average 23.8°
    Average this month 29.9° Average this month 25.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.9° 1994 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 22.7° 2001
    Lake Mary rainfall history (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 16.6mm 13/01/2020 Total This Month 35.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 152.4mm 13.8 days Wettest January on record 622.8mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Lake Mary Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 152.4mm 13.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 35.8mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 65.8mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 16.6mm Jan13
    Lowest Temperature 21.2°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 33.5°C Jan18
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Lake Mary Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.3 29.3 28.4 26.6 24.2 21.9 21.4 22.1 24.4 26.0 27.5 28.7 25.8
    Mean Min (°C) 23.8 23.7 22.5 19.7 15.9 13.5 11.9 12.7 15.7 19.0 21.4 22.8 18.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 152.4 179.4 161.9 73.0 75.0 59.5 47.2 36.5 39.8 44.8 73.0 120.1 1060.6
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 13.0 13.0 11.3 10.3 12.2 9.6 8.3 5.9 6.0 7.7 10.8 116.5