Forecast
Lake Clarendon (27.5211°S, 152.3571°E, 86m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW20° 39° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:22am EST 4:48am EST 6:38pm EST 7:05pm EST NOW23.3° Feels Like: 26.6° Relative Humidity: 78% Dew: 19.2° Wind: CAL 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Lake ClarendonNow23.8°cFeels Like:25.9°Wind:E 9km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:81%20°Min39°MaxToday in Lake ClarendonHot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the southern border ranges, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the Lockyer Valley in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 38.Tomorrow20°Min39°MaxHot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower inland from the late morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Lake Clarendon
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the southern border ranges, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the Lockyer Valley in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 38.
Forecast for Lake Clarendon (27.5211°S, 152.3571°E, 86m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 20° 20° 20° 19° 19° 19° 19° Maximum 39° 38° 39° 35° 36° 38° 37° Chance of rain 20% 80% 70% 50% 70% 50% 60% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)15
(km/h)8
(km/h)18
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)9
(km/h)15
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction NNE ENE NE E NNE ENE E E ENE E ENE NNE NNW E Relative humidity 55% 24% 51% 30% 53% 33% 56% 39% 65% 33% 55% 24% 48% 22% Dew point 19°C 15°C 19°C 17°C 20°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 17°C 19°C 15°C 16°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Lake Clarendon Rain Forecast
Lake Clarendon 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
HIGH15
LOW16
17
18
19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
22
23
24
LOW25
MEDIUM26
LOW27
LOW28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
31
MEDIUMJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
HIGH6
HIGH7
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Lake Clarendon Rain Forecast
Lake Clarendon 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020346577736654105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Lake Clarendon Rain Forecast
Lake Clarendon 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
HIGH15
LOW16
17
18
19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
22
23
24
LOW25
MEDIUM26
LOW27
LOW28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
31
MEDIUMJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
HIGH6
HIGH7
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 9Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Lake Clarendon Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Dec 0512.4 °C 39.4 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0612.6 °C 41.7 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 0715.7 °C 42.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0817.4 °C 35.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Dec 0920.5 °C 35 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Lake Clarendon minimum temp history (27.5211°S, 152.3571°E, 86m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 42.6° 07/12/2019 Coldest this month 12.4° 05/12/2019 Hottest on record 42.0 04/12/2002 Coldest on record 8.8 05/12/1984 Hottest this year 42.9° 13/02/2019 Coldest this year 0.7° 20/07/2019 Long term average 31.1° Long term average 18.3° Average this month 37.4° Average this month 16.0° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.9° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 15.8° 2006 Lake Clarendon rainfall history (27.5211°S, 152.3571°E, 86m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 7.6mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 12.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 99.5mm 9.4 days Wettest December on record 317.0mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Lake Clarendon Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 767.2mm 89.0 day(s) Total For 2019 209.6mm 61.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 483.8mm 82.0 day(s) Wettest Day 22.4mm Mar30 Lowest Temperature 0.7°C Jul20 Highest Temperature 42.9°C Feb13 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Lake Clarendon Climatology
Lake Clarendon Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.7 30.9 29.7 27.4 23.9 21.3 20.9 22.6 25.8 28.2 30.0 31.1 27.0 Mean Min (°C) 19.5 19.2 17.5 14.0 10.6 7.9 6.3 6.9 9.8 13.2 16.1 18.3 13.3 Mean Rain (mm) 112.4 99.1 79.8 47.4 45.6 41.9 36.6 26.9 35.2 63.4 79.4 99.5 768.1 Mean Rain Days 9.9 9.7 9.8 6.7 6.3 5.7 5.4 5.1 5.3 7.4 8.3 9.4 87.7