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Forecast

Image Flat (26.6009°S, 152.9325°E, 92m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 21° 28°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:45am EST 5:11am EST 6:46pm EST 7:12pm EST
    NOW
    23.2° Feels Like: 28.2°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 23.2°
    Wind: S 2km/h
    Gust: 2km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 61.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Image Flat
    Now
    22.6°c
    Feels Like:
    24.8°
    Wind:
    S 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    21°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Image Flat
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, tending to rain at times in the south during this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm with heavy falls during the morning in the south. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    21°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, tending to rain at times in the south during this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm with heavy falls during the morning in the south. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 29.

    Forecast for Image Flat (26.6009°S, 152.9325°E, 92m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 21° 21° 22° 23° 23° 23° 23°
    Maximum 28° 29° 31° 32° 32° 31° 32°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 50% 70% 60% 50% 80%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE N NE N NE N NE N NE N NE N NE
    Relative humidity 84% 76% 75% 71% 72% 65% 71% 65% 70% 66% 75% 64% 68% 63%
    Dew point 23°C 23°C 22°C 23°C 22°C 23°C 24°C 24°C 23°C 24°C 24°C 23°C 23°C 23°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Image Flat Rain Forecast


    Image Flat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    HIGH
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Image Flat Rain Forecast


    Image Flat 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    3
    7
    4
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Image Flat Rain Forecast


    Image Flat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    HIGH
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Image Flat Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 13
    20.9 °C 26.1 °C
    0.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    21.4 °C 28.4 °C
    0.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    20.8 °C 30.4 °C
    16.4 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    21.8 °C 27.0 °C
    11.2 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    21.8 °C 29 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Image Flat minimum temp history (26.6009°S, 152.9325°E, 92m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.6° 10/01/2020 Coldest this month 18.2° 04/01/2020
    Hottest on record 41.3 04/01/2014 Coldest on record 14.5 08/01/2003
    Hottest this year 30.6° 10/01/2020 Coldest this year 18.2° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 29.0° Long term average 21.2°
    Average this month 29.4° Average this month 20.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.9° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 19.4° 2016
    Image Flat rainfall history (26.6009°S, 152.9325°E, 92m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 23.8mm 16/01/2020 Total This Month 51.0mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 157.7mm 14.7 days Wettest January on record 557.8mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Image Flat Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 157.7mm 14.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 51.0mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.4mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.8mm Jan16
    Lowest Temperature 18.2°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 30.6°C Jan10
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Image Flat Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.0 28.9 27.9 26.0 23.6 21.4 21.0 22.1 24.3 25.6 27.1 28.3 25.4
    Mean Min (°C) 21.2 21.3 20.1 16.9 13.6 11.4 9.6 9.9 12.9 15.5 17.9 19.8 15.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 157.7 196.7 178.6 161.6 154.9 125.2 68.4 84.1 63.5 71.9 88.0 149.2 1497.7
    Mean Rain Days 14.7 15.1 16.6 16.0 16.9 16.4 13.0 10.5 11.1 10.6 9.8 13.4 156.7