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Forecast

Horn Island (10.5938°S, 142.2853°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 26° 35°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:59am EST 6:21am EST 7:01pm EST 7:24pm EST
    NOW
    31.3° Feels Like: 33.2°
    Relative Humidity: 73%
    Dew: 25.9°
    Wind: WNW 26km/h
    Gust: 42km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1006.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Horn Island
    Now
    31.3°c
    Feels Like:
    33.2°
    Wind:
    WNW 26km/h
    Gusts:
    42km/h
    Humidity:
    73%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    26°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Horn Island
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning NW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    27°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Horn Island

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning NW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.

    Forecast for Horn Island (10.5938°S, 142.2853°E, 10m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 26° 27° 26° 26° 25° 25° 26°
    Maximum 35° 35° 35° 35° 34° 34° 35°
    Chance of rain 50% 50% 30% 60% 60% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 34
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW NW WNW NW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NW NNW NW
    Relative humidity 70% 68% 70% 67% 70% 68% 69% 67% 71% 67% 66% 65% 66% 64%
    Dew point 25°C 28°C 26°C 27°C 25°C 28°C 25°C 27°C 25°C 26°C 23°C 26°C 24°C 27°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Horn Island Rain Forecast


    Horn Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 January to 27 January, 4 February to 8 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 January to 27 January, 27 January to 31 January, and 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 January to 27 January, 1 February to 5 February, and 16 February to 20 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Horn Island Rain Forecast


    Horn Island 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    5
    4
    6
    8
    8
    6
    8
    1
    8
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Horn Island Rain Forecast


    Horn Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 January to 27 January, 4 February to 8 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 January to 27 January, 27 January to 31 January, and 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 January to 27 January, 1 February to 5 February, and 16 February to 20 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Horn Island Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    25.3 °C 31.9 °C
    3.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    25.8 °C 33.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    26.5 °C 33.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    24.9 °C 33 °C
    15.8 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    28 °C -
    2.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Horn Island minimum temp history (10.5938°S, 142.2853°E, 10m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.5° 03/01/2020 Coldest this month 24.1° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 36.7 10/01/1998 Coldest on record 22.4 24/01/2011
    Hottest this year 34.5° 03/01/2020 Coldest this year 24.1° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 30.9° Long term average 25.2°
    Average this month 32.6° Average this month 25.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.7° 2016 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 24.4° 2003
    Horn Island rainfall history (10.5938°S, 142.2853°E, 10m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 53.8mm 08/01/2020 Total This Month 131.6mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 423.2mm 21.8 days Wettest January on record 701.6mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Horn Island Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 423.2mm 21.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 131.6mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 299.6mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 53.8mm Jan 8
    Lowest Temperature 24.1°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 34.5°C Jan 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Horn Island Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.9 30.5 30.5 30.6 30.1 29.4 28.9 29.1 30.1 31.0 31.9 31.9 30.4
    Mean Min (°C) 25.2 25.0 25.0 25.3 24.8 24.0 23.2 23.0 23.8 24.8 25.7 25.8 24.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 423.2 466.7 365.0 255.3 72.7 16.1 9.9 6.1 5.9 15.6 45.9 196.0 1889.4
    Mean Rain Days 21.8 21.1 20.2 15.9 10.7 9.7 8.5 5.4 3.2 4.2 5.4 13.4 133.1